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Read the news report and evaluate its claim.
“Bicycle theft has risen dramatically in our town! The number of reported thefts increased by \(100\%\) from last year.”
One bicycle theft was reported last year, and two were reported this year. Explain why the headline could create a misleading impression.
Hints
- Find the actual increase in the number of reports.
- Compare the effect of saying “one more case” with saying “a \(100\%\) increase.”
- Consider how a small starting value affects percent change.
Solution
1. The number increased by \(2 - 1 = 1\) theft.
2. Relative to last year’s \(1\) theft, the percent increase is \(\frac{1}{1} \times 100\% = 100\%\), so the numerical claim is correct.
3. However, the absolute number only changed from \(1\) to \(2\). With a very small starting value, a small absolute change can produce a large percent increase. The word “dramatically” may therefore exaggerate the scale of the situation.
Answer
The \(100\%\) increase is mathematically correct, but the headline is potentially misleading because the reported count rose by only one case, from \(1\) to \(2\).
