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Addition rule and disjoint events

Learning goals

  • Uses P(A or B) = P(A)+P(B)-P(A and B).
  • Recognizes when events are disjoint.
  • Simplifies the addition rule correctly for disjoint events.
  • Distinguishes disjointness from independence.

Click problems to add them to your worksheet.

Addition rule and disjoint events 1
A fair six-sided die is rolled once. Let \(A=\{1,2\}\) and \(B=\{5,6\}\). Are \(A\) and \(B\) disjoint? Explain using the outcomes in the two events.

Hints

- Compare the outcomes listed in the two events. - What must the intersection look like for two events to be disjoint?

Solution

1. Event \(A\) contains only \(1\) and \(2\), while event \(B\) contains only \(5\) and \(6\). 2. The events have no outcomes in common, so \(A\cap B=\varnothing\). 3. Therefore, \(A\) and \(B\) are disjoint.

Answer

Yes. \(A\cap B=\varnothing\), so the events are disjoint.
Addition rule and disjoint events 2
Events \(A\) and \(B\) are disjoint. Suppose \(P(A)=0.22\) and \(P(B)=0.31\). Find \(P(A\cup B)\).

Hints

- What happens to the overlap term in the addition rule when the events are disjoint? - The union contains either event with no double-counted outcomes.

Solution

1. Because the events are disjoint, \(P(A\cap B)=0\). 2. The addition rule therefore simplifies to \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)=0.22+0.31=0.53\).

Answer

\(P(A\cup B)=0.53\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 3
A fair die is rolled. Event \(E\) is rolling \(1\) or \(2\). Event \(F\) is rolling \(5\) or \(6\). Can \(E\) and \(F\) happen on the same roll? Explain what this means for \(P(E\cap F)\).

Hints

- Compare the possible die results in the two events. - An intersection contains only outcomes shared by both events.

Solution

1. No roll can show a number from both \(\{1,2\}\) and \(\{5,6\}\). 2. Thus the events are disjoint and \(P(E\cap F)=0\).

Answer

No. The events are disjoint, so \(P(E\cap F)=0\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 4
Point T marks one possible outcome. a) Is T in \(A\), \(B\), or both? b) If you add \(P(A)+P(B)\), how many times is T included? How many times should it be counted in \(P(A\cup B)\)?
Figure for problem 560951

Hints

- Locate point \(T\) relative to each circle. - Which event probabilities include that point? - Think about how many distinct outcomes belong to an event that joins two sets.

Solution

1. T lies inside both circles, so it belongs to both events. 2. Adding the probabilities of A and B includes this shared outcome twice. 3. The union contains each outcome just once, so it includes T once.

Answer

a) Both \(A\) and \(B\). b) Twice in \(P(A)+P(B)\), but once in \(P(A\cup B)\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 5
An electronics manufacturer inspects a sample of \(2500\) tablets for two defects: dead pixels and case damage. The inspection finds that \(35\) tablets have dead pixels, \(20\) have case damage, and \(8\) have both defects. Find the probability that a randomly selected tablet from the sample has at least one of the two defects.

Hints

- Tablets with both defects appear in each individual defect count. - Use inclusion–exclusion to avoid counting the overlap twice. - Divide the union count by the sample size.

Solution

1. Let \(D\) be the event that a tablet has dead pixels, and let \(C\) be the event that it has case damage. 2. By inclusion–exclusion, \(n(D\cup C)=35+20-8=47\). 3. Therefore, \(P(D\cup C)=\frac{47}{2500}=0.0188\). 4. As a percent, \(0.0188=1.88\%\).

Answer

\(P(D\cup C)=\frac{47}{2500}=0.0188=1.88\%\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 6
One card is drawn at random from a well-shuffled standard \(52\)-card deck. a) Explain why the individual cards can be treated as equally likely outcomes. b) Find the probability that the card is a spade or a face card, where face cards are jacks, queens, and kings.

Hints

- How many spades are in the deck? - Among the face cards, which ones also belong to the spade group? - When adding the two group counts, which cards would otherwise be counted twice?

Solution

1. The shuffle makes each of the \(52\) distinct cards equally likely to be drawn. 2. There are \(13\) spades and \(12\) face cards. Three cards are in both groups: the jack, queen, and king of spades. 3. Count those three once: \(13+12-3=22\) favorable cards. The probability is \(\frac{22}{52}=\frac{11}{26}\).

Answer

a) After a thorough shuffle, each distinct card has the same chance to be drawn. b) \(\frac{11}{26}\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 7
A fair \(20\)-sided die is labeled with the integers \(1\) through \(20\). Find the probability that the result is prime or greater than \(15\).

Hints

- List the prime numbers through \(20\). - List the numbers greater than \(15\). - Subtract the outcomes that appear in both lists.

Solution

1. The primes from \(1\) through \(20\) are \(2,3,5,7,11,13,17,19\), giving \(8\) outcomes. 2. The numbers greater than \(15\) are \(16,17,18,19,20\), giving \(5\) outcomes. 3. The overlap is \(\{17,19\}\), with \(2\) outcomes. Therefore, the union contains \(8+5-2=11\) outcomes. 4. Since the die is fair, \(P=\frac{11}{20}=0.55\).

Answer

\(\frac{11}{20}=0.55\), or \(55\%\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 8
A spinner has \(20\) equal sections labeled \(1\) through \(20\). a) Find the theoretical probability \(P(L)\) that the result is prime. b) Find the probability that the result is divisible by \(4\). c) Find the probability that the result is divisible by \(4\) or prime. Explain why the two event probabilities may be added directly.

Hints

- List the primes through \(20\). - List the multiples of \(4\) through \(20\). - Before adding the probabilities, check whether any outcome belongs to both events.

Solution

1. The primes through \(20\) are \(2,3,5,7,11,13,17,19\), so \(P(L)=\frac{8}{20}=0.40\). 2. The multiples of \(4\) are \(4,8,12,16,20\), so their probability is \(\frac{5}{20}=0.25\). 3. None of the multiples of \(4\) is prime, so the events are mutually exclusive. 4. Therefore, the probability of “divisible by \(4\) or prime” is \(\frac{8}{20}+\frac{5}{20}=\frac{13}{20}=0.65\).

Answer

a) \(0.40\) b) \(0.25\) c) \(0.65\); the events are mutually exclusive, so their probabilities may be added directly.
Addition rule and disjoint events 9
A computer generates a uniformly random integer from \(1\) through \(200\). a) Find the probability that the number is a perfect square or a multiple of \(30\). b) Find the probability that the number is neither a perfect square nor a multiple of \(30\).

Hints

- Count the perfect squares and the multiples of \(30\) in the sample space. - Check whether the two sets overlap before adding their probabilities. - “Neither” is the complement of “at least one.”

Solution

1. There are \(14\) perfect squares from \(1^2\) through \(14^2=196\). 2. There are \(6\) multiples of \(30\): \(30,60,90,120,150,180\). 3. No number through \(200\) belongs to both groups, so the events are mutually exclusive and the union probability is \(\frac{14+6}{200}=\frac{20}{200}=0.10\). 4. The probability of neither event is the complement of the union: \(1-0.10=0.90\).

Answer

a) \(0.10\) b) \(0.90\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 10
Of \(600\) website visitors, \(360\) used the app. Among the app users, \(216\) made a purchase. Among the other \(240\) visitors, \(72\) made a purchase. Find the probability that a randomly selected visitor made a purchase.

Hints

- Combine the purchasers from the two disjoint visitor groups. - Divide the total number of purchasers by all visitors.

Solution

1. The two visitor groups are disjoint, so the total number of purchasers is \(216+72=288\). 2. Therefore, the probability is \(\frac{288}{600}=0.48\).

Answer

\(0.48\), or \(48\%\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 11
Two diagrams are shown. Which diagram can represent the events “the die result is even” and “the die result is odd” for one roll of a fair six-sided die? Justify your choice.
Figure for problem 538662

Hints

- Can a single outcome be both even and odd? - Compare your conclusion with whether the circles overlap.

Solution

1. No die result is both even and odd. 2. Therefore, the two events have no outcomes in common and must be represented by disjoint circles. 3. Diagram b) shows disjoint circles, so it is the correct diagram.

Answer

Diagram b), because the events have no outcomes in common.
Addition rule and disjoint events 12
For two events, \(P(A)=0.42\), \(P(B)=0.35\), and \(P(A\cap B)=0.18\). Use the addition rule to find \(P(A\cup B)\).

Hints

- Identify the overlap that would be counted twice by simple addition. - Substitute the three given probabilities into the addition rule.

Solution

1. Apply the addition rule: \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\). 2. Substitute: \(P(A\cup B)=0.42+0.35-0.18=0.59\).

Answer

\(P(A\cup B)=0.59=59\%\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 13
Of \(70\) recreation-center members, \(32\) use the swimming pool, \(27\) use the climbing wall, and \(12\) use both. How many members use at least one of the two facilities? Use inclusion–exclusion for counts.

Hints

- Identify the group included in both individual counts. - Correct the double-counting once.

Solution

1. Adding \(32\) and \(27\) counts the \(12\) members who use both facilities twice. 2. Therefore, \(n(A\cup B)=32+27-12=47\).

Answer

\(47\) members use at least one of the two facilities.
Addition rule and disjoint events 14
A fair six-sided die is rolled. Let \(A=\{1\}\) and \(B=\{6\}\). Find \(P(A\cup B)\) and explain why the addition rule simplifies in this case.

Hints

- Decide whether one die result can belong to both events. - Use the intersection probability in the addition rule.

Solution

1. The events share no outcomes, so \(P(A\cap B)=0\). 2. Therefore, the addition rule simplifies to \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)\). 3. Thus, \(P(A\cup B)=\frac{1}{6}+\frac{1}{6}=\frac{2}{6}=\frac{1}{3}\).

Answer

\(P(A\cup B)=\frac{1}{3}\). The events are mutually exclusive, so there is no overlap to subtract.
Addition rule and disjoint events 15
For \(P(A)=0.55\), \(P(B)=0.48\), and \(P(A\cap B)=0.21\), Maya calculates \(P(A\cup B)=0.55+0.48=1.03\). Explain the error and correct the calculation.

Hints

- A probability greater than \(1\) signals an error. - Identify the region included in both individual probabilities.

Solution

1. The overlap with probability \(0.21\) is included in both individual probabilities, so it was counted twice. 2. Subtract the overlap once: \(P(A\cup B)=0.55+0.48-0.21=0.82\).

Answer

The intersection was counted twice. The correct result is \(P(A\cup B)=0.82\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 16
Suppose \(P(A)=0.46\), \(P(B)=0.39\), and \(P(A\cup B)=0.68\). Find \(P(A\cap B)\).

Hints

- Rearrange the addition rule to isolate the overlap. - Check that the intersection probability is no greater than either individual probability.

Solution

1. Rearrange the addition rule: \(P(A\cap B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cup B)\). 2. Substitute: \(P(A\cap B)=0.46+0.39-0.68=0.17\).

Answer

\(P(A\cap B)=0.17=17\%\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 17
Suppose \(P(A)=0.28\), \(P(A\cap B)=0.11\), and \(P(A\cup B)=0.64\). Find \(P(B)\).

Hints

- Identify the known union, individual probability, and intersection. - Isolate the requested probability before substituting.

Solution

1. Rearrange the addition rule: \(P(B)=P(A\cup B)-P(A)+P(A\cap B)\). 2. Substitute: \(P(B)=0.64-0.28+0.11=0.47\).

Answer

\(P(B)=0.47=47\%\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 18
In a population, \(62\%\) have characteristic \(A\), \(47\%\) have characteristic \(B\), and \(29\%\) have both. What percent have at least one of the two characteristics?

Hints

- The overlap is counted twice when the individual percentages are added. - “At least one” refers to the union, not exactly one.

Solution

1. The two individual percentages each include the overlap. 2. Apply inclusion–exclusion: \(P(A\cup B)=62\%+47\%-29\%=80\%\).

Answer

\(80\%\) have at least one of the two characteristics.
Addition rule and disjoint events 19
Suppose \(P(A)=\frac{3}{8}\), \(P(B)=\frac{5}{12}\), and \(P(A\cap B)=\frac{1}{6}\). Find \(P(A\cup B)\) as a fraction in simplest form.

Hints

- Rewrite all three fractions with a common denominator. - Simplify after combining the fractions.

Solution

1. Apply the addition rule: \(P(A\cup B)=\frac{3}{8}+\frac{5}{12}-\frac{1}{6}\). 2. Using a common denominator of \(24\), \(P(A\cup B)=\frac{9}{24}+\frac{10}{24}-\frac{4}{24}=\frac{15}{24}\). 3. Simplify: \(\frac{15}{24}=\frac{5}{8}\).

Answer

\(P(A\cup B)=\frac{5}{8}\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 20
At a community festival, \(180\) guests buy a meal wristband. Of those guests, \(96\) choose a vegetarian entree, represented by \(V\), \(74\) choose dessert, represented by \(D\), and \(38\) choose both. How many choose at least one of the two options, and how many choose neither?

Hints

- Guests who choose both options are included in both individual counts. - Find the union count before subtracting from the total.

Solution

1. Inclusion–exclusion gives \(n(V\cup D)=96+74-38=132\). 2. The number who choose neither option is \(180-132=48\).

Answer

\(132\) guests choose at least one option, and \(48\) choose neither.
Addition rule and disjoint events 21
A bakery offers soup, represented by \(S\), and sandwiches, represented by \(W\), at lunch. Of \(90\) orders, \(44\) include soup, \(53\) include a sandwich, and \(21\) include both. An employee claims that \(97\) orders include at least one of the two items. Evaluate and correct the claim.

Hints

- Identify the orders included in both individual counts. - Correct the double-counting before evaluating the claim.

Solution

1. The sum \(44+53=97\) counts the \(21\) orders containing both items twice. 2. Inclusion–exclusion gives \(n(S\cup W)=44+53-21=76\).

Answer

The claim is incorrect. \(76\) orders include at least one item.
Addition rule and disjoint events 22
In a hiking challenge, let \(A\) be the event that a route is longer than \(6\,\text{mi}\), and let \(B\) be the event that it has more than \(1500\,\text{ft}\) of elevation gain. For a randomly selected route, \(P(A)=0.52\), \(P(B)=0.36\), and \(P(A\cup B)=0.71\). Find \(P(A\cap B)\) and interpret the result.

Hints

- Rearrange the addition rule to find the common portion. - Translate the intersection probability back into the hiking context.

Solution

1. Rearrange the addition rule: \(P(A\cap B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cup B)\). 2. Substitute: \(P(A\cap B)=0.52+0.36-0.71=0.17\). 3. Thus, \(17\%\) of the routes satisfy both conditions.

Answer

\(P(A\cap B)=0.17\). Therefore, \(17\%\) of the routes are longer than \(6\,\text{mi}\) and have more than \(1500\,\text{ft}\) of elevation gain.
Addition rule and disjoint events 23
A delivery company studies \(250\) packages. Let \(A\) be the event that a package is delivered on the first attempt, and let \(B\) be the event that it is delivered to a pickup locker. Of the packages, \(175\) satisfy \(A\), \(92\) satisfy \(B\), and \(54\) satisfy both. Evaluate the claim: “Exactly \(213\) packages satisfy at least one of the two conditions.”

Hints

- Substitute the three counts into inclusion–exclusion. - Compare the result with the claim.

Solution

1. Inclusion–exclusion gives \(n(A\cup B)=175+92-54=213\). 2. The calculated union count matches the stated count, so the claim is correct.

Answer

The claim is correct: \(213\) packages satisfy at least one of the two conditions.
Addition rule and disjoint events 24
In a school survey, event \(A\) means a student is in the chess club and event \(B\) means the student is in the debate club. The probabilities are \(P(A)=0.55\), \(P(B)=0.35\), and \(P(A\cap B)=0.20\). Find the probability that a student belongs to at least one of the two groups.

Hints

- Does the sum of the two event probabilities count any students twice? - Use the given shared probability to correct the sum.

Solution

1. Adding \(P(A)+P(B)\) counts the intersection twice. 2. Subtract it once: \(P(A\cup B)=0.55+0.35-0.20=0.70\).

Answer

\(P(A\cup B)=0.70\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 25
A box contains only chocolate, vanilla, and strawberry ice cream bars. A randomly selected bar is chocolate with probability \(0.30\) and vanilla with probability \(0.25\). Find the probability that the selected bar is chocolate or vanilla. Explain why you may add the probabilities without subtracting anything.

Hints

- Can one selected bar have both listed flavors in this experiment? - What happens to the overlap term in the addition rule?

Solution

1. A single bar has only one flavor, so the chocolate and vanilla events are disjoint. 2. Add the probabilities: \(0.30+0.25=0.55\).

Answer

\(0.55\). The two flavors cannot occur together on the same bar.
Addition rule and disjoint events 26
A fair ten-sided die numbered \(1\) through \(10\) is rolled once. Let \(E\) mean an even number and \(G\) mean a number greater than \(6\). a) List the results in \(E\cap G\). b) Find \(P(E\cup G)\). Explain why adding \(P(E)\) and \(P(G)\) alone gives the wrong answer.

Hints

- Which results meet both conditions? - Which results meet at least one condition? - Would adding the sizes of both groups count any result more than once?

Solution

1. The even results are \(\{2,4,6,8,10\}\), and the results greater than six are \(\{7,8,9,10\}\). Their overlap is \(E\cap G=\{8,10\}\). 2. The union is \(\{2,4,6,7,8,9,10\}\), with seven of ten equally likely results, so \(P(E\cup G)=\frac{7}{10}\). 3. Adding \(\frac{5}{10}+\frac{4}{10}\) counts results \(8\) and \(10\) twice. Subtract their \(\frac{2}{10}\) probability to obtain \(\frac{7}{10}\).

Answer

a) \(E\cap G=\{8,10\}\). b) \(P(E\cup G)=\frac{7}{10}\). Adding alone double-counts \(8\) and \(10\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 27
A recreation club has \(150\) members. Of the members, \(90\) regularly run, \(75\) regularly swim, and \(30\) do neither activity. Find the probability that a randomly selected member does both activities.

Hints

- First find how many members do at least one activity. - Adding the two activity counts double-counts members who do both. - Divide the overlap count by the total membership.

Solution

1. The number who do at least one activity is \(150-30=120\). 2. Let \(R\) represent running and \(S\) represent swimming. Inclusion–exclusion gives \(120=90+75-n(R\cap S)\). 3. Therefore, \(n(R\cap S)=90+75-120=45\). 4. The probability is \(P(R\cap S)=\frac{45}{150}=0.30=30\%\).

Answer

\(P(R\cap S)=0.30=30\%\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 28
In a town, \(60\%\) of households read local news source \(A\), and \(50\%\) read local news source \(B\). A survey shows that \(20\%\) of households read neither source. Determine whether it is possible for exactly \(40\%\) of households to read both sources. Justify your conclusion using the addition rule for probabilities.

Hints

- First find the probability that a household reads at least one source. - Use the addition rule for the union of two events. - Solve the equation for the intersection probability.

Solution

1. Since \(20\%\) read neither source, \(P(A\cup B)=1-0.20=0.80\). 2. The addition rule gives \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\). 3. Substitute the known values: \(0.80=0.60+0.50-P(A\cap B)\). 4. Solving gives \(P(A\cap B)=1.10-0.80=0.30\). 5. Therefore, the overlap must be \(30\%\), not \(40\%\).

Answer

No. The conditions require \(P(A\cap B)=0.60+0.50-0.80=0.30\), so exactly \(30\%\) of households must read both sources.
Addition rule and disjoint events 29
A survey of \(120\) students found that \(65\) participate in a club sport, \(50\) play a musical instrument, and \(25\) do neither activity. a) How many students do both activities? b) What is the probability that a randomly selected student does exactly one of the two activities?

Hints

- Use the count for neither activity to find the union count. - Use inclusion–exclusion to find the overlap. - “Exactly one” includes the two nonoverlapping parts outside the intersection.

Solution

1. The number who do at least one activity is \(120-25=95\). 2. Let \(S\) represent club sports and \(M\) represent playing an instrument. Inclusion–exclusion gives \(95=65+50-n(S\cap M)\). 3. Therefore, \(n(S\cap M)=65+50-95=20\). 4. The number who do exactly one activity is \((65-20)+(50-20)=45+30=75\). 5. The probability is \(\frac{75}{120}=\frac{5}{8}=0.625=62.5\%\).

Answer

a) \(20\) students b) \(\frac{5}{8}=0.625=62.5\%\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 30
At a bakery, \(80\%\) of customers buy bread, \(45\%\) buy cake, and \(30\%\) buy both. a) Find the probability that a customer buys neither bread nor cake. b) On a Saturday, \(400\) customers visit the bakery. Based on these rates, how many customers would be expected to buy bread but not cake?

Hints

- First find the probability of buying at least one item. - “Neither” is the complement of the union. - Bread buyers consist of bread-only buyers and buyers of both items.

Solution

1. Let \(B\) represent buying bread and \(C\) represent buying cake. 2. By the addition rule, \(P(B\cup C)=0.80+0.45-0.30=0.95\). 3. Therefore, the probability of buying neither item is \(1-0.95=0.05\). 4. The probability of buying bread but not cake is \(P(B\cap C^c)=0.80-0.30=0.50\). 5. The expected count is \(400\cdot0.50=200\).

Answer

a) \(0.05=5\%\) b) \(200\) customers
Addition rule and disjoint events 31
The two-way table shows counts for two events, \(A\) and \(B\). <table><tr><th></th><th>\(B\)</th><th>\(B^c\)</th><th>Total</th></tr><tr><th>\(A\)</th><td>\(60\)</td><td>\(100\)</td><td>\(160\)</td></tr><tr><th>\(A^c\)</th><td>\(140\)</td><td>\(100\)</td><td>\(240\)</td></tr><tr><th>Total</th><td>\(200\)</td><td>\(200\)</td><td>\(400\)</td></tr></table> Use probabilities from the table to verify the addition rule \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\).

Hints

- Convert the relevant table counts to probabilities. - Calculate the two sides of the equation separately. - The union consists of three interior cells.

Solution

1. From the marginal totals, \(P(A)=\frac{160}{400}=0.40\) and \(P(B)=\frac{200}{400}=0.50\). 2. From the upper-left cell, \(P(A\cap B)=\frac{60}{400}=0.15\). 3. The right side of the addition rule is \(0.40+0.50-0.15=0.75\). 4. The union contains \(60+100+140=300\) outcomes, so \(P(A\cup B)=\frac{300}{400}=0.75\). 5. Both sides equal \(0.75\), so the rule is verified for these data.

Answer

\(P(A\cup B)=\frac{300}{400}=0.75\), and \(P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)=0.40+0.50-0.15=0.75\). Therefore, the two sides are equal.
Addition rule and disjoint events 32
Cedar Ridge High School offers two after-school clubs: theater, represented by \(T\), and coding, represented by \(C\). For a randomly selected student, \(P(T)=0.30\), \(P(C)=0.25\), and \(P(T\cup C)=0.45\). a) Find the probability that the student belongs to both clubs. b) Find the probability that the student belongs to exactly one of the two clubs. c) Valeria claims, “Because \(0.30+0.25=0.55\), more than half of the students must belong to at least one club.” Explain the error.

Hints

- Think about how the overlap is counted when the two individual probabilities are added. - For “exactly one,” identify which part of the union must be excluded. - Compare the simple sum with the given union probability.

Solution

1. Apply the addition rule: \(0.45=0.30+0.25-P(T\cap C)\). 2. Thus, \(P(T\cap C)=0.30+0.25-0.45=0.10\). 3. The probability of exactly one club is the union probability minus the probability of both clubs: \(0.45-0.10=0.35\). 4. Valeria's claim double-counts students who belong to both clubs. The simple sum \(0.55\) includes the \(0.10\) overlap twice, while the union probability is \(0.45\).

Answer

a) \(P(T\cap C)=0.10\) b) The probability is \(0.35\). c) Students in both clubs are counted twice in \(P(T)+P(C)\). The overlap must be subtracted to find the union.
Addition rule and disjoint events 33
Two events, \(A\) and \(B\), have probabilities \(P(A)=0.30\) and \(P(B)=0.50\). a) Find \(P(A\cup B)\) if \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive. b) Suppose \(P(A\cup B)=0.70\). Find \(P(A\cap B)\). c) Explain why \(P(A\cup B)=0.90\) is impossible for the given values of \(P(A)\) and \(P(B)\).

Hints

- For mutually exclusive events, the intersection probability is \(0\). - Rearrange the addition rule to find the intersection. - Determine the greatest possible union when the individual probabilities are fixed.

Solution

1. If \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive, then \(P(A\cap B)=0\), so \(P(A\cup B)=0.30+0.50=0.80\). 2. If \(P(A\cup B)=0.70\), the addition rule gives \(P(A\cap B)=0.30+0.50-0.70=0.10\). 3. The largest possible union occurs when the intersection is \(0\), giving \(P(A\cup B)=0.80\). 4. A union probability of \(0.90\) would require \(P(A\cap B)=-0.10\), which is impossible.

Answer

a) \(P(A\cup B)=0.80\) b) \(P(A\cap B)=0.10\) c) The maximum possible union probability is \(0.80\); \(0.90\) would require a negative intersection probability.
Addition rule and disjoint events 34
A survey of \(100\) students found that \(75\) regularly use social media, represented by \(S\), and \(40\) regularly use streaming services, represented by \(T\). Every student uses at least one of the two services. a) Find \(n(S\cap T)\). b) Verify the count form of inclusion–exclusion: \(n(S\cup T)=n(S)+n(T)-n(S\cap T)\). c) What is the probability that a randomly selected student uses streaming services but not social media?

Hints

- “Every student uses at least one” gives the union count. - Solve the inclusion–exclusion equation for the overlap. - Subtract the overlap from the streaming-service count to find streaming only.

Solution

1. Because every student uses at least one service, \(n(S\cup T)=100\). 2. Inclusion–exclusion gives \(100=75+40-n(S\cap T)\), so \(n(S\cap T)=15\). 3. Substitution verifies the rule: \(75+40-15=100\). 4. The number who use streaming services but not social media is \(40-15=25\). 5. The requested probability is \(\frac{25}{100}=0.25=25\%\).

Answer

a) \(n(S\cap T)=15\) b) \(n(S\cup T)=75+40-15=100\), so the rule is verified. c) The probability is \(0.25\), or \(25\%\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 35
Determine whether each statement about events in a probability experiment is true or false. Briefly justify each answer. a) If \(P(A)+P(B)>1\), then events \(A\) and \(B\) cannot be mutually exclusive. b) If \(A\cap B=\varnothing\) and \(A\cup B=S\), then \(B=A^c\). c) For any two events in a sample, \(n(A\cup B)\le n(A)+n(B)\).

Hints

- Use the fact that probabilities are at most \(1\). - Recall the definition of a complement event. - Write the inclusion–exclusion formula for counts.

Solution

1. Statement a is true. If the events were mutually exclusive, then \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)>1\), which is impossible. 2. Statement b is true. Disjoint events whose union is the entire sample space partition the sample space, so each is the complement of the other. 3. Statement c is true. Inclusion–exclusion gives \(n(A\cup B)=n(A)+n(B)-n(A\cap B)\). Since \(n(A\cap B)\ge0\), the union count cannot exceed the sum of the individual counts.

Answer

a) True; otherwise the union probability would exceed \(1\). b) True; the two disjoint events together contain every outcome, so \(B=A^c\). c) True; inclusion–exclusion subtracts the nonnegative overlap count.
Addition rule and disjoint events 36
A bag contains \(40\) slips numbered from \(1\) through \(40\). One slip is selected at random. Find the probability that its number is divisible by \(4\) or by \(10\), including numbers divisible by both.

Hints

- List or count the multiples of each divisor. - Identify the numbers that appear in both groups. - Subtract the overlap after adding the two counts.

Solution

1. There are \(40\) equally likely outcomes. 2. The multiples of \(4\) from \(1\) through \(40\) are \(4,8,12,16,20,24,28,32,36,40\), so there are \(10\). 3. The multiples of \(10\) are \(10,20,30,40\), so there are \(4\). 4. Numbers divisible by both \(4\) and \(10\) are multiples of \(20\): \(20\) and \(40\). There are \(2\). 5. By inclusion–exclusion, the favorable count is \(10+4-2=12\). 6. The probability is \(\frac{12}{40}=\frac{3}{10}=0.30=30\%\).

Answer

\(\frac{3}{10}=0.30=30\%\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 37
One card is drawn at random from a standard \(52\)-card deck. a) Find the probability that the card is a heart, represented by \(H\), or a face card, represented by \(F\). A face card is a jack, queen, or king. b) Explain why simply calculating \(P(H)+P(F)\) gives an incorrect result.

Hints

- Count the hearts and the face cards separately. - Identify cards that satisfy both descriptions. - Subtract the overlap after adding the two counts.

Solution

1. A standard deck has \(13\) hearts, so \(P(H)=\frac{13}{52}\). 2. There are \(3\) face cards in each of \(4\) suits, so there are \(12\) face cards and \(P(F)=\frac{12}{52}\). 3. The heart jack, queen, and king are in both events, so \(n(H\cap F)=3\). 4. By inclusion–exclusion, \(P(H\cup F)=\frac{13+12-3}{52}=\frac{22}{52}=\frac{11}{26}\). 5. The simple sum counts the three heart face cards twice.

Answer

a) \(P(H\cup F)=\frac{11}{26}\) b) The heart jack, queen, and king belong to both events, so adding the two individual probabilities counts those cards twice.
Addition rule and disjoint events 38
Two events, \(A\) and \(B\), have probabilities \(P(A)=\frac{3}{8}\), \(P(B)=\frac{1}{2}\), and \(P(A\cap B)=\frac{1}{4}\). a) Find \(P(A\cup B)\). b) Find \(P(A^c\cup B)\). c) Determine whether \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive. Justify your answer.

Hints

- Apply the addition rule in part a. - For part b, consider the complement of the requested union. - Mutually exclusive events have no overlap.

Solution

1. By the addition rule, \(P(A\cup B)=\frac{3}{8}+\frac{4}{8}-\frac{2}{8}=\frac{5}{8}\). 2. The complement of \(A^c\cup B\) is \(A\cap B^c\). 3. Since \(P(A\cap B^c)=P(A)-P(A\cap B)=\frac{3}{8}-\frac{2}{8}=\frac{1}{8}\), it follows that \(P(A^c\cup B)=1-\frac{1}{8}=\frac{7}{8}\). 4. Mutually exclusive events have intersection probability \(0\). Because \(P(A\cap B)=\frac{1}{4}\ne0\), the events are not mutually exclusive.

Answer

a) \(P(A\cup B)=\frac{5}{8}\) b) \(P(A^c\cup B)=\frac{7}{8}\) c) The events are not mutually exclusive because \(P(A\cap B)=\frac{1}{4}\ne0\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 39
A spinner labeled with the integers \(1\) through \(12\) is spun once, and all numbers are equally likely. Let \(A\) be the event “the number is a multiple of \(3\),” and let \(B\) be the event “the number is greater than \(7\).” a) Write \(A\), \(B\), \(A\cap B\), and \(A\cup B\) in set notation. b) Find \(P(A)\), \(P(B)\), and \(P(A\cap B)\). Then verify the addition rule for this experiment.

Hints

- List the outcomes satisfying each event. - Identify the outcomes shared by the two lists. - Compare the directly counted union probability with the addition-rule result.

Solution

1. The event sets are \(A=\{3,6,9,12\}\) and \(B=\{8,9,10,11,12\}\). 2. Their intersection is \(A\cap B=\{9,12\}\), and their union is \(A\cup B=\{3,6,8,9,10,11,12\}\). 3. Therefore, \(P(A)=\frac{4}{12}\), \(P(B)=\frac{5}{12}\), and \(P(A\cap B)=\frac{2}{12}\). 4. The union has \(7\) outcomes, so \(P(A\cup B)=\frac{7}{12}\). 5. The addition rule gives \(\frac{4}{12}+\frac{5}{12}-\frac{2}{12}=\frac{7}{12}\), matching the direct result.

Answer

a) \(A=\{3,6,9,12\}\), \(B=\{8,9,10,11,12\}\), \(A\cap B=\{9,12\}\), and \(A\cup B=\{3,6,8,9,10,11,12\}\) b) \(P(A)=\frac{4}{12}\), \(P(B)=\frac{5}{12}\), and \(P(A\cap B)=\frac{2}{12}\). Also, \(\frac{4}{12}+\frac{5}{12}-\frac{2}{12}=\frac{7}{12}=P(A\cup B)\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 40
In a survey of \(500\) students, \(80\%\) own a tablet, represented by \(T\), \(60\%\) own a laptop, represented by \(L\), and \(50\) own neither device. Find the probability that a randomly selected student owns a tablet but not a laptop.

Hints

- Convert the percentages to counts. - Use the neither count to find the union count. - Subtract the overlap from the tablet count.

Solution

1. The device counts are \(n(T)=0.80\cdot500=400\) and \(n(L)=0.60\cdot500=300\). 2. Since \(50\) students own neither device, \(n(T\cup L)=500-50=450\). 3. Inclusion–exclusion gives \(n(T\cap L)=400+300-450=250\). 4. The tablet-only count is \(n(T\cap L^c)=400-250=150\). 5. The requested probability is \(\frac{150}{500}=0.30=30\%\).

Answer

\(0.30=30\%\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 41
For two events, \(A\) and \(B\), suppose \(P(A)=0.35\), \(P(B)=0.55\), and \(P(A\cap B)=0.15\). a) Find \(P(A\cup B)\). b) Find \(P(A^c\cap B^c)\). c) Aarav claims, “The probability that \(B\) occurs without \(A\) is greater than the probability that \(A\) occurs without \(B\).” Verify or refute the claim.

Hints

- When adding \(P(A)\) and \(P(B)\), how should the overlap be handled? - What event is the complement of “at least one of \(A\) or \(B\)”? - For an event to occur without the other, which overlap must be excluded?

Solution

1. By the addition rule, \(P(A\cup B)=0.35+0.55-0.15=0.75\). 2. By the complement rule, \(P(A^c\cap B^c)=1-P(A\cup B)=1-0.75=0.25\). 3. The probability that \(B\) occurs without \(A\) is \(P(A^c\cap B)=0.55-0.15=0.40\). 4. The probability that \(A\) occurs without \(B\) is \(P(A\cap B^c)=0.35-0.15=0.20\). 5. Since \(0.40>0.20\), Aarav's claim is true.

Answer

a) \(P(A\cup B)=0.75\) b) \(P(A^c\cap B^c)=0.25\) c) The claim is true because \(P(A^c\cap B)=0.40\) and \(P(A\cap B^c)=0.20\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 42
One three-digit positive integer is selected at random. What is the probability that the number is divisible by \(25\) or by \(40\)?

Hints

- Count all three-digit integers first. - Count the three-digit multiples of each divisor. - Use the least common multiple to count the overlap.

Solution

1. There are \(999-100+1=900\) three-digit positive integers. 2. The three-digit multiples of \(25\) run from \(4\cdot25=100\) through \(39\cdot25=975\), giving \(39-4+1=36\) numbers. 3. The three-digit multiples of \(40\) run from \(3\cdot40=120\) through \(24\cdot40=960\), giving \(24-3+1=22\) numbers. 4. A number divisible by both \(25\) and \(40\) must be divisible by \(\operatorname{lcm}(25,40)=200\). The three-digit multiples are \(200,400,600,800\), so there are \(4\). 5. Inclusion–exclusion gives \(36+22-4=54\) favorable numbers. 6. The probability is \(\frac{54}{900}=0.06=6\%\).

Answer

\(0.06=6\%\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 43
One integer from \(1\) through \(100\), inclusive, is selected at random. Find the probability that the number is divisible by neither \(4\) nor \(6\).

Hints

- First count numbers divisible by at least one of the two divisors. - Use the least common multiple to count the overlap. - The requested event is the complement of the union.

Solution

1. There are \(25\) multiples of \(4\) from \(1\) through \(100\). 2. There are \(16\) multiples of \(6\) because \(16\cdot6=96\) is the greatest such multiple at most \(100\). 3. Numbers divisible by both \(4\) and \(6\) are multiples of \(\operatorname{lcm}(4,6)=12\). There are \(8\) because \(8\cdot12=96\). 4. By inclusion–exclusion, \(25+16-8=33\) numbers are divisible by \(4\) or \(6\). 5. Therefore, \(100-33=67\) numbers are divisible by neither, and the probability is \(\frac{67}{100}=0.67=67\%\).

Answer

\(\frac{67}{100}=0.67=67\%\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 44
A workplace surveys \(150\) employees about phone type and wireless plans. Exactly \(50\) employees have personal plans; everyone else has a business plan. Of all employees, \(60\) use an iPhone, including \(15\) who have a business plan. Find the probability that a randomly selected employee has a personal plan or uses an iPhone.

Hints

- Split the iPhone users into business-plan users and personal-plan users. - Which employees belong to both events in the requested union? - Adding the two event totals directly counts that overlap twice.

Solution

1. Of the \(60\) iPhone users, \(15\) have business plans, so \(60-15=45\) have personal plans. That is the overlap between the two events. 2. The number with a personal plan or an iPhone is \(50+60-45=65\), counting the overlap once. 3. Divide by the total: \(P(\text{personal or iPhone})=\frac{65}{150}=\frac{13}{30}\).

Answer

\(P(\text{personal plan or iPhone})=\frac{13}{30}\approx0.4333\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 45
A prize spinner has three sectors: gold, silver, and bronze. On each spin, exactly one sector is selected, so the events \(G\), \(S\), and \(B\) are pairwise disjoint. The following probabilities are known: \(P(G\cup S)=0.35\) \(P(S\cup B)=0.85\) \(P(G\cup B)=0.80\) Find \(P(G)\), \(P(S)\), and \(P(B)\).

Hints

- How does disjointness affect the probability of a union? - Write a system of three equations for the three unknown probabilities. - What happens when you add all three equations? - How can each pair sum be used with the total probability?

Solution

1. Because the events are pairwise disjoint, \(P(G)+P(S)=0.35\), \(P(S)+P(B)=0.85\), and \(P(G)+P(B)=0.80\). 2. Add the three equations: \(2(P(G)+P(S)+P(B))=0.35+0.85+0.80=2.00\). 3. Thus \(P(G)+P(S)+P(B)=1\). 4. Subtract each given pair sum from \(1\): \(P(B)=1-0.35=0.65\), \(P(G)=1-0.85=0.15\), and \(P(S)=1-0.80=0.20\).

Answer

\(P(G)=0.15\), \(P(S)=0.20\), and \(P(B)=0.65\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 46
Three events \(A\), \(B\), and \(C\) are pairwise disjoint. The probability that at least one of the events occurs is \(90\%\). Event \(A\) is half as likely as event \(B\). The probability that \(B\) or \(C\) occurs is \(70\%\). Find \(P(A)\), \(P(B)\), and \(P(C)\).

Hints

- Translate “half as likely” and “at least one” into equations. - Use disjointness to write union probabilities as sums. - Substitute one equation into another to find one unknown at a time.

Solution

1. Since the events are pairwise disjoint, \(P(A)+P(B)+P(C)=0.90\). 2. The other conditions give \(P(A)=0.5P(B)\) and \(P(B)+P(C)=0.70\). 3. Substitute the pair sum into the total: \(P(A)+0.70=0.90\), so \(P(A)=0.20\). 4. Since \(0.20=0.5P(B)\), \(P(B)=0.40\). 5. Then \(0.40+P(C)=0.70\), so \(P(C)=0.30\).

Answer

\(P(A)=0.20\), \(P(B)=0.40\), and \(P(C)=0.30\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 47
Nia claims that if two events overlap, the probability of \(A\cup B\) could be greater than \(P(A)+P(B)\). Explain why \(P(A\cup B)\le P(A)+P(B)\) for every pair of events. When can equality hold?

Hints

- How does the addition rule adjust for outcomes counted in both events? - Can the overlap have a negative probability? - What value would the overlap probability need to have for equality?

Solution

1. The addition rule is \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\). 2. Because a probability cannot be negative, subtracting \(P(A\cap B)\) cannot make the union larger than \(P(A)+P(B)\). 3. Therefore, \(P(A\cup B)\le P(A)+P(B)\). Equality holds exactly when \(P(A\cap B)=0\), including when the events are disjoint.

Answer

\(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\le P(A)+P(B)\), because \(P(A\cap B)\ge0\). Equality holds if the overlap has probability \(0\); disjoint events are one example.
Addition rule and disjoint events 48
The events \(A\), \(B\), \(C\), and \(D\) form a partition of the sample space. It is known that \(P(A)=0.15\), \(P(B)=2P(A)\), and \(P(C)\) is \(0.10\) greater than \(P(D)\). a) Find \(P(B)\), \(P(C)\), and \(P(D)\). b) Find \(P(A\cup B\cup C)\) and \(P(B\cap D)\).

Hints

- What must the probabilities in a partition add to? - Express the relationship between \(P(C)\) and \(P(D)\) with one variable. - What is the intersection of two different events in a partition? - Write an equation with only one unknown probability.

Solution

1. \(P(B)=2\cdot 0.15=0.30\). 2. Since the events form a partition, their probabilities add to \(1\). Let \(P(D)=d\), so \(P(C)=d+0.10\). Then \(0.15+0.30+(d+0.10)+d=1\). 3. Solving \(0.55+2d=1\) gives \(d=0.225\). Therefore, \(P(D)=0.225\) and \(P(C)=0.325\). 4. Since the events are disjoint, \(P(A\cup B\cup C)=0.15+0.30+0.325=0.775\). 5. Also, \(B\cap D=\emptyset\), so \(P(B\cap D)=0\).

Answer

a) \(P(B)=0.30\), \(P(C)=0.325\), \(P(D)=0.225\) b) \(P(A\cup B\cup C)=0.775\), \(P(B\cap D)=0\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 49
The events \(E_1\), \(E_2\), and \(E_3\) form a partition of a sample space. Suppose \(P(E_1)=0.25\) and \(P(E_2)=\frac{2}{3}P(E_3)\). a) Find \(P(E_2)\) and \(P(E_3)\). b) If \(E_1\), \(E_2\), and \(E_3\) are the only individual outcomes, explain why this is not an equally likely outcomes model. c) Find \(P(E_1\cup E_2)\) and \(P(E_2\cap E_3)\).

Hints

- What must the probabilities of a partition add to? - Express both unknown probabilities using one variable. - What must be true of individual outcomes in an equally likely outcomes model? - What is the intersection of two different events in a partition?

Solution

1. The probabilities in a partition add to \(1\): \(0.25+\frac{2}{3}P(E_3)+P(E_3)=1\). 2. Thus \(\frac{5}{3}P(E_3)=0.75\), so \(P(E_3)=0.75\cdot\frac{3}{5}=0.45\). 3. Then \(P(E_2)=\frac{2}{3}\cdot 0.45=0.30\). 4. The individual outcomes are not equally likely because \(0.25\), \(0.30\), and \(0.45\) are different. 5. Since the events are disjoint, \(P(E_1\cup E_2)=0.25+0.30=0.55\) and \(P(E_2\cap E_3)=0\).

Answer

a) \(P(E_2)=0.30\), \(P(E_3)=0.45\) b) The outcomes are not equally likely because their probabilities are different. c) \(P(E_1\cup E_2)=0.55\), \(P(E_2\cap E_3)=0\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 50
A quality-control study examines \(5000\) components from two factories. <table> <thead> <tr> <th></th> <th>Nondefective (\(E\))</th> <th>Defective (\(D\))</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Factory A (\(W_A\))</td> <td>\(1800\)</td> <td>\(200\)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Factory B (\(W_B\))</td> <td>\(2700\)</td> <td>\(300\)</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> a) Let \(D_A=W_A\cap D\) and \(D_B=W_B\cap D\). Explain why \(D_A\) and \(D_B\) are mutually exclusive, and find \(P(D_A\cup D_B)\). b) Find \(P((W_A\cap E)\cup(W_B\cap D))\). Explain why the two probabilities may be added directly.

Hints

- Check whether one component could satisfy both factory labels at once. - For mutually exclusive events, their union probability is the sum of their probabilities. - Use the table cells as counts out of the same total of \(5000\).

Solution

1. A component cannot come from both factories, so \(D_A\cap D_B=\varnothing\). 2. Therefore, \(P(D_A\cup D_B)=\frac{200}{5000}+\frac{300}{5000}=0.04+0.06=0.10\). 3. The events \(W_A\cap E\) and \(W_B\cap D\) are also mutually exclusive because they require different factories. 4. Thus, \(P((W_A\cap E)\cup(W_B\cap D))=\frac{1800}{5000}+\frac{300}{5000}=0.36+0.06=0.42\).

Answer

a) The events are mutually exclusive because one component cannot come from both factories. \(P(D_A\cup D_B)=0.10\). b) \(P((W_A\cap E)\cup(W_B\cap D))=0.42\). Direct addition is valid because the two events are mutually exclusive.
Addition rule and disjoint events 51
For any two events \(A\) and \(B\), \(P(A)\le P(A\cup B)\le P(A)+P(B)\). 1. Explain why the probability of \(A\) or \(B\) cannot be less than \(P(A)\). 2. Give a condition under which \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)\). 3. Use the addition rule to explain why \(P(A\cup B)\) cannot be greater than \(P(A)+P(B)\).

Hints

- What outcomes are included when you say "\(A\) or \(B\)"? - Think about whether an outcome can belong to both events. - In the addition rule, what can you say about the sign of the term that is subtracted?

Solution

1. Every outcome in \(A\) is also in \(A\cup B\). Including more possible outcomes cannot decrease the probability, so \(P(A)\le P(A\cup B)\). 2. If \(A\) and \(B\) are disjoint, no outcome is counted in both events. Their probabilities can then be added directly. More generally, equality holds when \(P(A\cap B)=0\). 3. The addition rule gives \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\). Since \(P(A\cap B)\ge 0\), subtracting it cannot produce a number larger than \(P(A)+P(B)\).

Answer

1. The union contains every outcome in \(A\), so \(P(A\cup B)\ge P(A)\). 2. One sufficient condition is that \(A\) and \(B\) are disjoint. 3. The addition rule subtracts the nonnegative overlap \(P(A\cap B)\), so \(P(A\cup B)\le P(A)+P(B)\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 52
A box holds \(100\) identical tickets numbered from \(1\) to \(100\). One ticket is drawn at random. Let \(A\) mean its number is a multiple of \(6\), and let \(B\) mean its number is a multiple of \(8\). a) Find \(P(A)\) and \(P(B)\). b) Find \(P(A\cap B)\). c) Use the addition rule to find the probability that the number is divisible by \(6\) or \(8\). d) Find the probability that the number is divisible by neither \(6\) nor \(8\).

Hints

- Count the numbers that are multiples of each given number. - Which numbers appear in both lists? - How does the addition rule avoid counting shared outcomes twice? - What is the complement of being divisible by at least one of the two numbers?

Solution

1. There are \(16\) multiples of \(6\) and \(12\) multiples of \(8\) from \(1\) through \(100\), so \(P(A)=\frac{16}{100}=0.16\) and \(P(B)=\frac{12}{100}=0.12\). 2. A multiple of both \(6\) and \(8\) must be divisible by \(24\). The possible numbers are \(24,48,72,96\), giving \(P(A\cap B)=\frac{4}{100}=0.04\). 3. By the addition rule, \(P(A\cup B)=0.16+0.12-0.04=0.24\). 4. The probability of neither event is \(1-0.24=0.76\).

Answer

a) \(P(A)=0.16\), \(P(B)=0.12\). b) \(P(A\cap B)=0.04\). c) \(P(A\cup B)=0.24\). d) \(0.76\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 53
A fair \(20\)-sided die numbered \(1\) through \(20\) is rolled once. a) Find the probability that the result is divisible by \(4\) or \(6\). b) Find the probability that the result is divisible by neither \(3\) nor \(5\). c) Find the probability that the result is divisible by exactly one of \(4\) and \(6\).

Hints

- For each pair of divisibility events, check whether any outcomes satisfy both conditions. - Treat “neither” as the complement of a union. - “Exactly one” keeps the two nonoverlapping parts of the union and excludes the intersection.

Solution

1. The multiples of \(4\) are \(\{4,8,12,16,20\}\), and the multiples of \(6\) are \(\{6,12,18\}\). Their intersection is \(\{12\}\), so the union contains \(5+3-1=7\) outcomes. Thus, the probability is \(\frac{7}{20}=0.35\). 2. There are \(6\) multiples of \(3\), \(4\) multiples of \(5\), and one common multiple, \(15\). Thus \(6+4-1=9\) outcomes are divisible by \(3\) or \(5\), so \(20-9=11\) satisfy neither condition. The probability is \(\frac{11}{20}=0.55\). 3. For divisibility by \(4\) or \(6\), the only overlap is \(12\). Exactly one condition holds for the other \(7-1=6\) outcomes in the union. Therefore, the probability is \(\frac{6}{20}=\frac{3}{10}=0.30\).

Answer

a) \(\frac{7}{20}=0.35\) b) \(\frac{11}{20}=0.55\) c) \(\frac{3}{10}=0.30\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 54
A container holds \(100\) identical balls numbered \(1\) through \(100\). One ball is selected at random. Let \(A\) be the event that the number is a multiple of \(8\), and let \(B\) be the event that the number is a multiple of \(12\). a) Find \(P(A)\) and \(P(B)\). b) Use the general addition rule to find \(P(A\cup B)\). c) Explain why an equally likely outcomes model is reasonable in this situation.

Hints

- Count the multiples of \(8\) and \(12\) from \(1\) through \(100\). - Which numbers belong to both events? - Use the general addition rule for overlapping events. - When is it reasonable to treat all individual outcomes as equally likely?

Solution

1. There are \(12\) multiples of \(8\) and \(8\) multiples of \(12\) from \(1\) through \(100\). Thus \(P(A)=\frac{12}{100}=0.12\) and \(P(B)=\frac{8}{100}=0.08\). 2. A number in both events must be a multiple of \(\operatorname{lcm}(8,12)=24\). The multiples are \(24\), \(48\), \(72\), and \(96\), so \(P(A\cap B)=\frac{4}{100}=0.04\). 3. Therefore, \(P(A\cup B)=0.12+0.08-0.04=0.16\). 4. The model is reasonable because the balls are physically identical except for their labels and the selection is random, so each ball has the same chance of being selected.

Answer

a) \(P(A)=0.12\), \(P(B)=0.08\) b) \(P(A\cup B)=0.16\) c) The balls are identical except for their labels and are selected randomly, so equal likelihood is reasonable.
Addition rule and disjoint events 55
A container holds \(150\) identical balls numbered \(1\) through \(150\). One ball is selected at random. Let \(E_1\) be the event that the number is divisible by \(6\), and let \(E_2\) be the event that the number is divisible by \(10\). a) Find \(P(E_1)\) and \(P(E_2)\). b) List the outcomes in \(E_1\cap E_2\) and find \(P(E_1\cap E_2)\). c) Find \(P(E_1\cup E_2)\). d) Find the probability that the number is divisible by \(6\) but not by \(10\).

Hints

- Count the multiples of each number through \(150\). - Use the least common multiple to find numbers in both events. - Apply the addition rule for the union. - For “in \(E_1\) but not \(E_2\),” subtract the overlap from \(E_1\).

Solution

1. There are \(25\) multiples of \(6\) and \(15\) multiples of \(10\), so \(P(E_1)=\frac{25}{150}=\frac{1}{6}\) and \(P(E_2)=\frac{15}{150}=\frac{1}{10}\). 2. A number in both events is a multiple of \(\operatorname{lcm}(6,10)=30\). Thus \(E_1\cap E_2=\{30,60,90,120,150\}\), and \(P(E_1\cap E_2)=\frac{5}{150}=\frac{1}{30}\). 3. \(P(E_1\cup E_2)=\frac{1}{6}+\frac{1}{10}-\frac{1}{30}=\frac{7}{30}\). 4. \(P(E_1\cap E_2^c)=P(E_1)-P(E_1\cap E_2)=\frac{1}{6}-\frac{1}{30}=\frac{2}{15}\).

Answer

a) \(P(E_1)=\frac{1}{6}\), \(P(E_2)=\frac{1}{10}\) b) \(E_1\cap E_2=\{30,60,90,120,150\}\), \(P(E_1\cap E_2)=\frac{1}{30}\) c) \(P(E_1\cup E_2)=\frac{7}{30}\) d) \(\frac{2}{15}\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 56
In a survey of \(500\) people, \(42\%\) said they exercise regularly, and \(35\%\) said they read books regularly. The relative frequency of people who do neither activity is \(0.38\). One respondent is selected at random. Let \(E\) be the event that the person exercises regularly, and let \(R\) be the event that the person reads books regularly. a) Find the probability that the person both exercises and reads books. b) Find the probability that the person reads books but does not exercise.

Hints

- Use the “neither” group to find the probability of at least one activity. - Which formula connects the two individual probabilities, their union, and their intersection? - Subtract the overlap from the group that reads books. - A Venn diagram or two-way table may help organize the regions.

Solution

1. The probability of doing at least one activity is \(1-0.38=0.62\). 2. By the addition rule, \(P(E\cap R)=P(E)+P(R)-P(E\cup R)=0.42+0.35-0.62=0.15\). 3. The probability of reading but not exercising is \(P(R\cap E^c)=P(R)-P(E\cap R)=0.35-0.15=0.20\).

Answer

a) \(P(E\cap R)=0.15\) b) \(P(R\cap E^c)=0.20\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 57
A container holds \(100\) tickets numbered \(1\) through \(100\). One ticket is selected at random. Let \(A\) be the event that the number is divisible by \(5\), \(B\) the event that it is divisible by \(8\), and \(C\) the event that it is divisible by \(20\). Find \(P(A)\), \(P(B)\), and \(P(C)\). Then find \(P(A\cup B)\) and \(P(A\cap C)\).

Hints

- Count the numbers from \(1\) through \(100\) that satisfy each condition. - Which numbers are in both \(A\) and \(B\)? - Use the addition rule for “A or B.” - How are the conditions “divisible by \(5\)” and “divisible by \(20\)” related?

Solution

1. There are \(20\) multiples of \(5\), \(12\) multiples of \(8\), and \(5\) multiples of \(20\) from \(1\) through \(100\). Thus \(P(A)=0.20\), \(P(B)=0.12\), and \(P(C)=0.05\). 2. The numbers divisible by both \(5\) and \(8\) are multiples of \(40\): \(40\) and \(80\). Therefore, \(P(A\cap B)=0.02\). 3. By the addition rule, \(P(A\cup B)=0.20+0.12-0.02=0.30\). 4. Every multiple of \(20\) is a multiple of \(5\), so \(C\subseteq A\). Therefore, \(A\cap C=C\), and \(P(A\cap C)=0.05\).

Answer

\(P(A)=0.20\), \(P(B)=0.12\), \(P(C)=0.05\), \(P(A\cup B)=0.30\), \(P(A\cap C)=0.05\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 58
In two situations, \(P(A)=0.50\) and \(P(B)=0.40\). In Situation I, \(P(A\cap B)=0.10\). In Situation II, \(P(A\cap B)=0.30\). Compare \(P(A\cup B)\) in the two situations and explain the difference.

Hints

- Apply the same addition rule in both situations. - Compare only the effect of the different intersection probabilities.

Solution

1. In Situation I, \(P(A\cup B)=0.50+0.40-0.10=0.80\). 2. In Situation II, \(P(A\cup B)=0.50+0.40-0.30=0.60\). 3. With the individual probabilities fixed, a larger overlap produces a smaller union because a larger amount is subtracted in the addition rule.

Answer

Situation I: \(P(A\cup B)=0.80\) Situation II: \(P(A\cup B)=0.60\) The larger intersection in Situation II makes its union probability smaller.
Addition rule and disjoint events 59
For two events, \(P(A\cup B)=0.73\), \(P(A\cap B)=0.16\), and \(P(A)=P(B)\). Find both individual probabilities.

Hints

- Represent the equal unknown probabilities with one variable. - Substitute into the addition rule and solve the resulting equation.

Solution

1. Let \(P(A)=P(B)=p\). 2. The addition rule gives \(0.73=p+p-0.16\). 3. Therefore, \(2p=0.89\), so \(p=0.445\). 4. Thus, \(P(A)=P(B)=0.445\).

Answer

\(P(A)=P(B)=0.445=44.5\%\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 60
Suppose \(P(A)=0.36\), \(P(B)=0.27\), and \(P(A\cup B)=0.70\). Use the addition rule to determine whether these values are possible.

Hints

- Calculate the intersection probability implied by the three values. - Check whether the result is a valid probability.

Solution

1. The addition rule would require \(P(A\cap B)=0.36+0.27-0.70=-0.07\). 2. A probability cannot be negative, so the values are impossible. 3. Equivalently, even with no overlap, the largest possible union is \(0.36+0.27=0.63\), which is less than \(0.70\).

Answer

The values are impossible because they would require \(P(A\cap B)=-0.07\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 61
A library analyzes \(240\) reservations. Let \(A\) be the event that an item is picked up the same day, and let \(E\) be the event that the patron also borrows an e-book. Suppose \(P(A)=0.45\), \(P(E)=0.35\), and \(P(A\cap E)=0.20\). Find \(P(A\cup E)\) and the corresponding number of reservations.

Hints

- First find the probability of at least one event. - Multiply the probability by the total number of reservations.

Solution

1. Apply the addition rule: \(P(A\cup E)=0.45+0.35-0.20=0.60\). 2. The corresponding count is \(0.60\cdot240=144\).

Answer

\(P(A\cup E)=0.60\), corresponding to \(144\) reservations.
Addition rule and disjoint events 62
A community pool has \(150\) guests. Of the guests, \(83\) use the lap pool, \(61\) use the water slide, and \(22\) use neither. How many guests use both?

Hints

- First find the number of guests in the union. - Compare the union count with the sum of the two individual counts.

Solution

1. The number who use at least one facility is \(150-22=128\). 2. Inclusion–exclusion gives \(128=83+61-n(A\cap B)\). 3. Therefore, \(n(A\cap B)=83+61-128=16\).

Answer

\(16\) guests use both the lap pool and the water slide.
Addition rule and disjoint events 63
At an evening museum event, \(210\) people visit an exhibit, \(165\) join a guided tour, and \(95\) do both. A total of \(320\) people attend. Determine whether the data are consistent, and find how many people do neither activity.

Hints

- Use inclusion–exclusion to find the union count. - Compare the union count with the total attendance, then find the remainder.

Solution

1. The number who do at least one activity is \(210+165-95=280\). 2. Since \(280\le320\), the data are possible. 3. The number who do neither activity is \(320-280=40\).

Answer

The data are consistent, and \(40\) people do neither activity.
Addition rule and disjoint events 64
At a flea market, \(120\) booths sell books, clothing, or other items. Of the booths, \(54\) sell books, \(67\) sell clothing, and \(29\) sell both. Find the probability that a randomly selected booth sells neither books nor clothing.

Hints

- First find the number of booths in the union. - Divide the remaining count by the total number of booths.

Solution

1. The number that sell books or clothing is \(54+67-29=92\). 2. The number that sell neither is \(120-92=28\). 3. The probability is \(\frac{28}{120}=\frac{7}{30}\approx0.2333\), or approximately \(23.3\%\).

Answer

\(\frac{7}{30}\approx23.3\%\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 65
A volunteer program asks \(84\) people whether they can work a morning shift, \(A\), or an afternoon shift, \(B\). Of them, \(39\) can work mornings, \(46\) can work afternoons, and \(15\) can work both. The program needs at least \(75\) different people who can work at least one shift. How many more people willing to work a shift does the program need?

Hints

- Some volunteers were counted in both shift groups. How do you count each person only once? - Compare the number of distinct available volunteers with the target. - A new shift commitment from someone already counted is not necessarily another person.

Solution

1. The number of different people available for at least one shift is \(39+46-15=70\). 2. The target is \(75\) different people, so the program needs \(75-70=5\) more people able to work at least one shift.

Answer

The program needs \(5\) more people who can work at least one shift.
Addition rule and disjoint events 66
Two events have probabilities \(P(A)=0.70\) and \(P(B)=0.60\). Ben says the chance of \(A\) or \(B\) is \(1.30\). Explain why Ben's answer cannot be right. What is the smallest possible value of \(P(A\cap B)\)?

Hints

- What is the largest possible probability? - What must be removed from the sum of the two event probabilities? - Think about the case in which the union covers the whole sample space.

Solution

1. A probability cannot exceed \(1\), so \(1.30\) cannot be a union probability. 2. By the addition rule, \(P(A\cup B)=1.30-P(A\cap B)\le1\). 3. Therefore \(P(A\cap B)\ge0.30\), and \(0.30\) is possible when the union includes everyone.

Answer

Ben counted overlapping outcomes twice. The smallest possible \(P(A\cap B)\) is \(0.30\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 67
Two events, \(A\) and \(B\), have probabilities \(P(A)=0.75\) and \(P(B)=0.40\). a) Explain mathematically why \(A\) and \(B\) cannot be mutually exclusive. b) Find the smallest possible value of \(P(A\cap B)\). c) Suppose \(B\subseteq A\). Find \(P(A\cap B)\) and \(P(A\cup B)\) in this case.

Hints

- A union probability cannot be greater than \(1\). - Apply the addition rule with the largest possible value of \(P(A\cup B)\). - When one event is contained in another, identify their intersection and union.

Solution

1. If the events were mutually exclusive, then \(P(A\cup B)=0.75+0.40=1.15\), which is impossible because a probability cannot exceed \(1\). 2. The addition rule and \(P(A\cup B)\le1\) give \(0.75+0.40-P(A\cap B)\le1\). 3. Therefore, \(P(A\cap B)\ge0.15\), so the smallest possible value is \(0.15\). 4. If \(B\subseteq A\), then \(A\cap B=B\) and \(A\cup B=A\). 5. Thus, \(P(A\cap B)=0.40\) and \(P(A\cup B)=0.75\).

Answer

a) They cannot be mutually exclusive because \(P(A)+P(B)=1.15>1\). b) The smallest possible value is \(P(A\cap B)=0.15\). c) \(P(A\cap B)=0.40\) and \(P(A\cup B)=0.75\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 68
Two events \(A\) and \(B\) can overlap. a) Explain why the part of \(A\) outside \(B\) and the overlap together make up all of \(A\), without double-counting. b) Use the three nonoverlapping regions inside \(A\cup B\) to explain why \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\).

Hints

- Describe the regions of a two-circle Venn diagram using “only A,” “both,” and “only B.” - Which parts make up the whole of event \(A\)? - Compare the way those regions are counted in the sum of two circle probabilities and in their union.

Solution

1. The two parts of \(A\) are \(A\cap B^c\) and \(A\cap B\). They do not overlap, so \(P(A)=P(A\cap B^c)+P(A\cap B)\). 2. The union has three nonoverlapping parts: only \(A\), both, and only \(B\). Thus \(P(A\cup B)=P(A\cap B^c)+P(A\cap B)+P(A^c\cap B)\). 3. Adding \(P(A)+P(B)\) includes the shared part \(P(A\cap B)\) twice, while the union includes it once. 4. Subtract the one extra copy: \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\).

Answer

a) \(A\) consists of the nonoverlapping regions \(A\cap B^c\) and \(A\cap B\), so \(P(A)=P(A\cap B^c)+P(A\cap B)\). b) Adding \(P(A)+P(B)\) counts \(A\cap B\) twice; subtracting one copy gives \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 69
Two events \(A\) and \(B\) have probabilities \(P(A)=0.7\) and \(P(B)=0.4\). 1. Explain why \(A\) and \(B\) cannot be disjoint. 2. Find the interval of all possible values of \(P(A\cup B)\).

Hints

- What is the greatest possible value of a probability? - Use the addition rule for two events. - How must the events be positioned for their union to be as small as possible? - Can the probability of a union be smaller than either individual probability?

Solution

1. If \(A\) and \(B\) were disjoint, then \(P(A\cup B)=0.7+0.4=1.1\), which is impossible because a probability cannot exceed \(1\). Equivalently, the addition rule gives \(P(A\cap B)\ge 0.7+0.4-1=0.1\). 2. The union is at least as likely as either event, so \(P(A\cup B)\ge \max(0.7, 0.4)=0.7\). It cannot exceed \(1\). Both endpoints are attainable: the minimum occurs when \(B\subseteq A\), and the maximum occurs when \(P(A\cap B)=0.1\). Therefore, \(P(A\cup B)\in[0.7, 1]\).

Answer

1. They cannot be disjoint because disjointness would give \(P(A\cup B)=1.1>1\). In fact, \(P(A\cap B)\ge 0.1\). 2. \(P(A\cup B)\in[0.7, 1]\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 70
In a market survey, \(45\%\) of respondents said they regularly buy Product A, and \(35\%\) said they regularly buy Product B. 1. Find the interval \([p_{\min},p_{\max}]\) that must contain \(P(A\cup B)\), the probability that a respondent buys Product A or Product B. 2. Interpret the lower and upper endpoints in context. What relationship between the two customer groups produces each endpoint?

Hints

- How does the size of the overlap affect the size of the union? - When does a Venn diagram cover the smallest possible total region? The largest? - Use the general addition rule. - What does it mean in context if the union probability equals the sum of the individual probabilities?

Solution

1. The addition rule is \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)\). 2. The union is smallest when the smaller event is contained in the larger event. If \(B\subseteq A\), then \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)=0.45\). 3. The union is largest when the events are disjoint. Then \(P(A\cup B)=0.45+0.35=0.80\). 4. Therefore, \(P(A\cup B)\in[0.45,0.80]\). The lower endpoint means every Product B buyer also buys Product A. The upper endpoint means no respondent buys both products.

Answer

1. \(P(A\cup B)\in[0.45,0.80]\) 2. Lower endpoint: every Product B buyer also buys Product A, so \(B\subseteq A\). Upper endpoint: the customer groups are disjoint, so \(A\cap B=\emptyset\).
Addition rule and disjoint events 71
Two events \(E\) and \(F\) satisfy \(P(E)=0.65\) and \(P(F)=0.55\). a) Explain why \(E\) and \(F\) cannot be disjoint. b) Find the smallest possible value of \(P(E\cap F)\). c) Suppose \(P(E\cup F)=0.85\). Find \(P(E\cap F)\). d) For the situation in part c), find the probability that neither event occurs.

Hints

- What is the maximum possible probability of any event? - Use the general addition rule. - Compare the sum of the individual probabilities with \(1\). - “Neither” is the complement of “at least one.”

Solution

1. If the events were disjoint, then \(P(E\cup F)=0.65+0.55=1.20\), which is impossible because a probability cannot exceed \(1\). 2. Since \(P(E\cup F)=P(E)+P(F)-P(E\cap F)\le 1\), \(P(E\cap F)\ge 0.65+0.55-1=0.20\). This lower bound is attainable. 3. If \(P(E\cup F)=0.85\), then \(P(E\cap F)=0.65+0.55-0.85=0.35\). 4. The probability that neither event occurs is \(1-P(E\cup F)=1-0.85=0.15\).

Answer

a) Disjointness would give \(P(E\cup F)=1.20>1\). b) \(0.20\) c) \(P(E\cap F)=0.35\) d) \(0.15\)
Addition rule and disjoint events 72
In a survey, \(75\%\) of respondents use a video-streaming service regularly, and \(65\%\) have a music-app subscription. One respondent is selected at random. Find the smallest and largest possible probabilities that the respondent 1. uses both services; 2. uses at least one of the services.

Hints

- In an extreme case, could the smaller group be entirely inside the larger group? - How small can the overlap be without making the union exceed \(100\%\)? - A probability cannot exceed \(1\). - Use the addition rule to connect the union and intersection.

Solution

1. Let \(S\) be video streaming and \(M\) be a music subscription. The largest possible intersection is the smaller marginal probability: \(P(S\cap M)_{\max}=\min(0.75,0.65)=0.65\). 2. Since \(P(S\cup M)\le 1\), the intersection satisfies \(P(S\cap M)\ge 0.75+0.65-1=0.40\). Thus \(P(S\cap M)\in[0.40,0.65]\). 3. The union is smallest when the intersection is largest: \(0.75+0.65-0.65=0.75\). 4. The union is largest when the intersection is smallest: \(0.75+0.65-0.40=1\). Thus \(P(S\cup M)\in[0.75,1]\).

Answer

1. Both services: minimum \(40\%\), maximum \(65\%\) 2. At least one service: minimum \(75\%\), maximum \(100\%\)

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