52514712
At a power plant, an automated system records a control reading every \(40\) minutes. The time \(X\), in minutes, between a technician's random arrival and the next recording is modeled by a continuous uniform distribution on \([0,40]\).
a) Write the probability density function \(f\) for \(X\). b) Use an integral of the density function to show that the probability of waiting between \(10\) and \(30\) minutes is exactly \(0.5\). c) A technician says, “The probability of waiting exactly \(20\) minutes is the same as the probability of waiting exactly \(10\) minutes.” Evaluate this statement in the context of continuous random variables.
Hints
- What height must a rectangle of width \(40\) have so that its area is \(1\)?
- Connect probability with area under the density curve.
- What happens to area when an interval has width \(0\)?
- Distinguish continuous measurements from discrete outcomes.
Solution
1. a) A uniform density on \([0,40]\) has height \(\frac{1}{40}\), so \(f(x)=\frac{1}{40}\) for \(0\le x\le 40\) and \(f(x)=0\) otherwise.
2. b) \(P(10\le X\le 30)=\int_{10}^{30}\frac{1}{40}\,dx=\left[\frac{x}{40}\right]_{10}^{30}=\frac{30-10}{40}=0.5\).
3. c) For a continuous random variable, \(P(X=k)=\int_k^k f(x)\,dx=0\). Both probabilities are \(0\), so the statement is mathematically correct.
Answer
a) \(f(x)=\frac{1}{40}\) for \(0\le x\le 40\), and \(f(x)=0\) otherwise.
b) \(\int_{10}^{30}\frac{1}{40}\,dx=0.5\)
c) The statement is true because both exact-value probabilities are \(0\).
