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Mutually exclusive events

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54726912
In a single card draw, let \(A\) be “drawing a heart” and \(B\) be “drawing a club.” Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive? Explain using the intersection \(A\cap B\).

Hints

- Ask whether both events can happen on the same trial. - When combining exclusive events, think about whether any outcome would be counted twice. - Do not confuse exclusivity with independence.

Solution

1. The experiment records one outcome for a single card draw. 2. The descriptions “drawing a heart” and “drawing a club” cannot both hold for the same outcome. 3. Thus \(A\cap B=\varnothing\), so the events are mutually exclusive.

Answer

Yes. The events are mutually exclusive because \(A\cap B=\varnothing\).
54727012
In a single trial, mutually exclusive events \(A\) and \(B\) have \(P(A)=0.2\) and \(P(B)=0.4\). Find \(P(A\cup B)\).

Hints

- Use the addition rule for a union. - Mutual exclusivity makes the intersection probability \(0\). - Add the two given event probabilities after accounting for the overlap.

Solution

1. Mutually exclusive events have \(P(A\cap B)=0\). 2. Therefore \(P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)=0.2+0.4=0.6\).

Answer

\(P(A\cup B)=0.6\).
54730912
A two-stage experiment records whether a first draw is red and whether a second draw is blue. A student claims the events are mutually exclusive because “red” and “blue” are different colors. Explain the error and give a possible outcome satisfying both events.

Hints

- Identify which component of the ordered outcome each event constrains. - Different stages can carry different colors simultaneously. - Construct one shared ordered outcome.

Solution

1. The color conditions apply to different draw positions. 2. An outcome such as \((\text{red first}, \text{blue second})\) satisfies both. 3. Different labels are not mutually exclusive when they can occur at different stages.

Answer

The events are not mutually exclusive; “red first, blue second” lies in their intersection.
54727312
A website records the number \(X\) of failed login attempts before a successful login. Split the event \(X\ge1\) into three mutually exclusive subevents that distinguish one failure, two failures, and at least three failures. Write the union and explain why the pieces are disjoint.

Hints

- Start with the possible values contained in the larger event. - Choose category boundaries so that every allowed value enters exactly one piece. - Check both overlap and coverage.

Solution

1. Use \(E_1=\{X=1\}\), \(E_2=\{X=2\}\), and \(E_3=\{X\ge3\}\). 2. No value of \(X\) can satisfy two of these descriptions, so the events are pairwise mutually exclusive. 3. Their union is \(\{X\ge1\}\).

Answer

One valid split is \(E_1=\{X=1\}\), \(E_2=\{X=2\}\), and \(E_3=\{X\ge3\}\). These events are pairwise mutually exclusive, and \(E_1\cup E_2\cup E_3=\{X\ge1\}\).
54727612
A survey asks respondents to choose exactly one primary news source from TV, radio, print, or online. A second survey asks respondents to select every source they use. Are “uses TV” and “uses online” mutually exclusive in each survey? Explain how the response rule changes the answer.

Hints

- Identify what one outcome permits. - The same labels can represent different event structures under different survey rules. - Look for whether a single respondent can satisfy both events.

Solution

1. In the exactly-one survey, a respondent cannot be in both categories, so the events are mutually exclusive. 2. In the select-all survey, one respondent may use both TV and online, so the events can overlap. 3. Mutual exclusivity depends on the outcome definition, not only the category names.

Answer

They are mutually exclusive in the exactly-one survey but not necessarily in the select-all survey.
54727712
A measurement \(X\) is classified using \(A=\{X\le10\}\) and \(B=\{X\ge10\}\). Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive? Revise one inequality so the categories become mutually exclusive while still covering all real values.

Hints

- Check boundary values explicitly. - Mutually exclusive intervals cannot share an endpoint. - Exhaustive intervals must leave no gap.

Solution

1. Both events contain \(X=10\), so their intersection is not empty. 2. Replace one event with \(B=\{X>10\}\), or replace \(A\) with \(\{X<10\}\). 3. The revised pair has no overlap and still covers every real value.

Answer

No; they overlap at \(X=10\). One valid revision is \(A=\{X\le10\}\) and \(B=\{X>10\}\).
54728112
Five distinct runners finish a race in random order. Let \(A\) be “Maya finishes first” and \(B\) be “Maya finishes last.” Show that \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive and find \(P(A\cup B)\).

Hints

- One person occupies exactly one finishing position. - Use symmetry for each endpoint event. - Add the probabilities only after checking the intersection.

Solution

1. Maya cannot occupy both first and last place in one ordering, so \(A\cap B=\varnothing\). 2. By symmetry, \(P(A)=P(B)=\frac15\). 3. Therefore \(P(A\cup B)=\frac15+\frac15=\frac25\).

Answer

The events are mutually exclusive, and \(P(A\cup B)=\frac25\).
54728412
For one soccer match, the outcomes “home win,” “draw,” and “away win” are mutually exclusive. Let \(G\) be “the home team scores at least one goal.” Which of the three result events can overlap \(G\)? Explain.

Hints

- Use possible score examples. - Events from different classification variables may overlap. - Do not transfer exclusivity from one partition to an unrelated event.

Solution

1. A home win can include a home goal. 2. A draw can include a positive tied score, so it can include a home goal. 3. An away win can also occur when the away team wins \(2\) to \(1\), so it can include a home goal. Thus \(G\) can overlap all three result events.

Answer

\(G\) can overlap home win, draw, and away win. Match-result categories are exclusive with one another, but not with the scoring event.
54728912
A wildlife record classifies each observed animal by species. Let \(A\) be “the animal is a wolf” and \(B\) be “the animal is a mammal.” Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive? Describe their intersection and explain why the category labels being different does not settle the question.

Hints

- Ask whether one category can be contained inside the other. - Describe an outcome that would satisfy both event descriptions. - Distinct names do not necessarily mean distinct, nonoverlapping sets.

Solution

1. Every wolf is a mammal, so \(A\subseteq B\). 2. Therefore \(A\cap B=A\), which is nonempty whenever wolves are possible. 3. Different verbal labels can describe nested events rather than disjoint categories.

Answer

The events are not mutually exclusive. Their intersection is \(A\cap B=A\), because every wolf is a mammal.
54729212
A value \(X\) is selected uniformly from the interval \([0,10]\). The number line shows events \(A\) and \(B\). a) Find the interval \(A\cap B\). b) Find \(P(A\cap B)\). c) Use the result to decide whether the events are mutually exclusive.
Figure for problem 547292

Hints

- Locate the values that satisfy both interval conditions. - For a uniform interval, compare lengths. - What intersection probability is required for mutual exclusivity?

Solution

1. Values satisfying both inequalities lie from \(4\) through \(6\), so \(A\cap B=[4,6]\). 2. The overlap has length \(2\) within a total interval of length \(10\). 3. Thus \(P(A\cap B)=\frac{2}{10}=0.20\), which is positive, so the events are not mutually exclusive.

Answer

a) \(A\cap B=[4,6]\) b) \(P(A\cap B)=0.20\) c) The events are not mutually exclusive.
54729512
Mutual exclusivity is not transitive. In the sample space \(S=\{1,2,3,4\}\), let \(A=\{1,2\}\), \(B=\{3\}\), and \(C=\{2,4\}\). Verify that \(A\) is mutually exclusive with \(B\) and that \(B\) is mutually exclusive with \(C\), but \(A\) is not mutually exclusive with \(C\). Explain what this counterexample disproves.

Hints

- Check each of the three pairwise intersections separately. - A transitive relation would force the first and third events to have the relation. - One shared outcome is enough to refute mutual exclusivity.

Solution

1. \(A\cap B=\varnothing\), so \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive. 2. \(B\cap C=\varnothing\), so \(B\) and \(C\) are mutually exclusive. 3. \(A\cap C=\{2\}\ne\varnothing\), so \(A\) and \(C\) are not mutually exclusive. 4. Therefore, mutual exclusivity does not satisfy the transitive property.

Answer

\(A\cap B=\varnothing\) and \(B\cap C=\varnothing\), but \(A\cap C=\{2\}\). Thus mutual exclusivity is not transitive.
54729612
The diagram shows two angle events \(A\) and \(B\) on a circle, where \(0^\circ\) and \(360^\circ\) represent the same direction. Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive? Explain why treating the endpoints as positions on an ordinary number line can cause an error.
Figure for problem 547296

Hints

- Expand the phrase “within \(20^\circ\) of \(0^\circ\)” into intervals. - Remember that \(0^\circ\) and \(360^\circ\) represent the same direction. - Compare the second interval with event \(B\).

Solution

1. The interval \(B=[350^\circ,355^\circ]\) lies inside the wrap-around part \([340^\circ,360^\circ)\) of \(A\). 2. Therefore \(A\cap B=B\), which is nonempty. 3. On a circle, angles near \(360^\circ\) are also near \(0^\circ\); a linear reading that ignores wrap-around would miss this overlap.

Answer

No. \(A\cap B=[350^\circ,355^\circ]\). Circular wrap-around makes angles near \(360^\circ\) part of the neighborhood of \(0^\circ\).
54729712
Two fair dice are rolled. Let \(A\) be “the minimum is \(2\)” and \(B\) be “the maximum is \(5\).” Are \(A\) and \(B\) mutually exclusive? List their intersection.

Hints

- Translate minimum and maximum conditions into ordered outcomes. - Both conditions can determine the two values simultaneously. - Include both possible orders.

Solution

1. Both conditions hold when the two results are \(2\) and \(5\) in either order. 2. \(A\cap B=\{(2, 5),(5, 2)\}\). 3. Therefore the events are not mutually exclusive.

Answer

No. Their intersection is \(\{(2, 5),(5, 2)\}\).
54730112
A sample space has \(7\) elementary outcomes. What is the greatest number of nonempty events that can be pairwise mutually exclusive? Prove the bound and describe a family that attains it.

Hints

- Assign at least one distinct outcome to every nonempty event. - Use the fact that disjoint events cannot share an outcome. - Test the family of singleton events.

Solution

1. Each nonempty event in a pairwise disjoint family must contain at least one elementary outcome. 2. No elementary outcome can belong to two events in the family. 3. With only \(7\) outcomes, there can be at most \(7\) nonempty pairwise disjoint events. 4. The seven singleton events attain the bound.

Answer

The maximum is \(7\), attained by the seven singleton events.
54730312
Give an example of two events that are mutually exclusive but not exhaustive, and two events that are exhaustive but not mutually exclusive.

Hints

- Construct one pair with no overlap but an incomplete union. - Construct another pair whose union is full but whose intersection is nonempty. - A fair die offers a small sample space for checking both properties.

Solution

1. On a die, “roll \(1\)” and “roll \(2\)” are mutually exclusive but do not cover all outcomes. 2. “Roll even” and “roll at most \(5\)” are exhaustive because outcomes \(1\) through \(5\) satisfy the second event and outcome \(6\) satisfies the first. They overlap at \(2\) and \(4\). 3. Thus the two properties are logically distinct.

Answer

Example: \(\{1\}\) and \(\{2\}\) are mutually exclusive but not exhaustive. “Roll even” and “roll at most \(5\)” are exhaustive but not mutually exclusive.
54730812
Two sensor readings are \(X\) and \(Y\). Let \(A\) be the event “\(X\) exceeds its alarm threshold” and \(B\) the event “\(Y\) exceeds its alarm threshold.” Express the event “at least one sensor does not exceed its threshold” using \(A\) and \(B\), and prove the expression with De Morgan’s law. Is this event mutually exclusive with “both sensors exceed their thresholds”?

Hints

- Translate “both” into an intersection before negating it. - De Morgan’s law changes a complemented intersection into a union of complements. - Compare the resulting event with the original intersection.

Solution

1. “Both sensors exceed” is \(A\cap B\). 2. “At least one does not exceed” is its complement: \((A\cap B)^c\). 3. De Morgan’s law gives \((A\cap B)^c=A^c\cup B^c\). 4. An event and its complement are mutually exclusive and exhaustive, so \(A^c\cup B^c\) is mutually exclusive with \(A\cap B\).

Answer

The event is \(A^c\cup B^c=(A\cap B)^c\). It is mutually exclusive with \(A\cap B\).
54727112
Event \(A\) has probability \(0.62\). Event \(B\) must be mutually exclusive with \(A\). a) What is the greatest possible value of \(P(B)\)? b) Under what additional condition is that greatest value attained?

Hints

- Where can event \(B\) occur if no outcome may belong to both events? - Compare \(B\) with the complement of \(A\). - Think about what must happen for the available probability outside \(A\) to be used completely.

Solution

1. Since \(A\cap B=\varnothing\), event \(B\) must lie within \(A^c\). 2. \(P(A^c)=1-0.62=0.38\), so \(P(B)\le0.38\). 3. Equality occurs when \(B=A^c\), so the two events are also exhaustive.

Answer

a) The greatest possible value is \(0.38\). b) It is attained when \(B=A^c\), making \(A\) and \(B\) exhaustive as well as mutually exclusive.
54727412
In the sample space \(S=\{1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8\}\), let \(A=\{1,2,3,4,5\}\) and \(B=\{4,5,6\}\). Find the largest subset \(C\subseteq A\) that is mutually exclusive with \(B\). Prove that your set is maximal: no larger subset of \(A\) can be disjoint from \(B\).

Hints

- A subset disjoint from \(B\) cannot contain any element of \(B\). - Start with all elements of \(A\) and remove exactly those that cause overlap. - To prove maximality, examine every element of \(A\) left outside the proposed set.

Solution

1. Any element of \(C\) must lie in \(A\) but not in \(B\), so \(C\subseteq A\setminus B\). 2. \(A\setminus B=\{1,2,3\}\), and this set has empty intersection with \(B\). 3. Taking all elements of \(A\setminus B\) gives the largest possible disjoint subset. Adding either \(4\) or \(5\), the remaining elements of \(A\), would create an intersection with \(B\).

Answer

The largest subset is \(C=A\setminus B=\{1,2,3\}\). It is maximal because every element of \(A\) not in \(C\) belongs to \(B\).
54727512
Events \(A,B,C\) form a partition of the sample space, and each has positive probability. a) Find \(A^c\cap B^c\) in terms of the partition. b) Are \(A^c\) and \(B^c\) mutually exclusive? c) Generalize the conclusion to complements of two distinct cells of a partition with at least three nonempty cells.

Hints

- Describe what remains after excluding each of two partition categories. - Use both disjointness and exhaustiveness of the original partition. - Consider where a third category lies relative to the two complements.

Solution

1. Because \(A,B,C\) are disjoint and exhaustive, outcomes outside both \(A\) and \(B\) are exactly the outcomes in \(C\). 2. Thus \(A^c\cap B^c=C\). 3. Since \(P(C)>0\), the complements overlap and are not mutually exclusive. 4. In any partition with at least three nonempty cells, the complements of two cells share every other cell.

Answer

a) \(A^c\cap B^c=C\) b) No, because their intersection has positive probability. c) The complements of two partition cells overlap on all remaining nonempty cells.
54727812
Suppose \(P(A)=0.72\) and \(P(B)=0.46\). Prove that \(A\) and \(B\) cannot be mutually exclusive, and find the smallest possible value of \(P(A\cap B)\).

Hints

- A union probability cannot exceed \(1\). - Use the general addition rule rather than the disjoint version. - Maximize the union to minimize the overlap.

Solution

1. If the events were mutually exclusive, their union would have probability \(0.72+0.46=1.18\), which is impossible. 2. The addition rule gives \(P(A\cap B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cup B)\). 3. Since \(P(A\cup B)\le1\), the intersection is at least \(1.18-1=0.18\).

Answer

They cannot be mutually exclusive. The smallest possible intersection probability is \(0.18\).
54728012
A sample space has \(5\) elementary outcomes. How many ordered pairs \((A,B)\) of nonempty events are mutually exclusive and exhaustive? Treat \(A\) and \(B\) as labeled, so exchanging them produces a different pair.

Hints

- Exhaustive and mutually exclusive events assign each outcome to exactly one side. - Count binary assignments of the elementary outcomes. - Remove assignments that leave one labeled event empty.

Solution

1. If \(A\) and \(B\) are disjoint and exhaustive, every outcome must be assigned to exactly one of the two labeled events. 2. There are \(2^5=32\) assignments to A or B. 3. Exclude the assignment sending every outcome to A and the assignment sending every outcome to B, because both events must be nonempty. 4. The number is \(32-2=30\).

Answer

\(30\) ordered pairs.
54728312
In sample space \(S=\{1,2,3,4,5,6\}\), let \( A=\{1,2\},\quad B=\{3,4\},\quad C=\{1,3\}. \) The triple intersection is empty. Are the three events pairwise mutually exclusive? Explain.

Hints

- Check every pair, not only the intersection of all three. - Pairwise mutual exclusivity requires three separate empty intersections. - A triple intersection can be empty even when pairs overlap.

Solution

1. \(A\cap B=\varnothing\). 2. \(A\cap C=\{1\}\) and \(B\cap C=\{3\}\). 3. An empty triple intersection does not imply pairwise mutual exclusivity; two pairs overlap.

Answer

No. Only \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive; \(C\) overlaps both.
54728512
In a sample of \(500\) people, no one was observed to be both a licensed pilot and under age \(16\). Does the zero observed intersection prove that the population events are mutually exclusive? Distinguish a structural zero from a sample zero.

Hints

- Separate evidence from a finite sample from logical impossibility. - Ask whether the category definitions prohibit overlap. - Zero frequency and structural zero are not automatically the same.

Solution

1. A sample zero means no overlap appeared in the observed data. 2. Mutual exclusivity is a property of the outcome definitions in the population. 3. The overlap is structurally impossible only if licensing rules make the combination impossible; the count alone does not prove that.

Answer

No. An observed zero may be a sample zero. Mutual exclusivity requires the combination to be impossible by definition or rule.
54728612
A probability space contains pairwise mutually exclusive events \(E_1,\ldots,E_k\), each having probability at least \(0.22\). What is the greatest possible value of \(k\)? Show that the bound can be attained by giving possible event probabilities.

Hints

- Add the lower bounds for all disjoint events. - Compare the resulting sum with the maximum possible probability. - Check that an example reaches the integer bound.

Solution

1. Pairwise mutually exclusive probabilities add, so \(0.22k\le1\). 2. This gives \(k\le4.545\ldots\), hence \(k\le4\). 3. Four events are possible, for example with probabilities \(0.22,0.22,0.22,\) and \(0.34\). 4. Their probabilities sum to \(1\), so the maximum is \(4\).

Answer

The greatest possible value is \(k=4\). One attainable set of probabilities is \(0.22,0.22,0.22,0.34\).
54728812
Three yes/no attributes \(A,B,\) and \(C\) may overlap in any way. What is the smallest standard set of mutually exclusive categories that preserves every possible response pattern? List the categories symbolically and state how many there are.

Hints

- Count the possible yes/no patterns for three attributes. - Represent each pattern with an intersection of events or complements. - Check that every response has exactly one pattern.

Solution

1. Each attribute can be present or absent, giving \(2^3=8\) truth-value patterns. 2. The categories are \(A\cap B\cap C\), \(A\cap B\cap C^c\), \(A\cap B^c\cap C\), \(A\cap B^c\cap C^c\), \(A^c\cap B\cap C\), \(A^c\cap B\cap C^c\), \(A^c\cap B^c\cap C\), and \(A^c\cap B^c\cap C^c\). 3. Each response pattern belongs to exactly one of these categories, so they are pairwise disjoint and exhaustive. 4. No coarser standard scheme preserves all eight distinct yes/no patterns.

Answer

The \(8\) categories are \(A\cap B\cap C\), \(A\cap B\cap C^c\), \(A\cap B^c\cap C\), \(A\cap B^c\cap C^c\), \(A^c\cap B\cap C\), \(A^c\cap B\cap C^c\), \(A^c\cap B^c\cap C\), and \(A^c\cap B^c\cap C^c\).
54729012
The symmetric difference \(A\triangle B\) is the event that exactly one of \(A\) and \(B\) occurs. a) Show that if \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive, then \(A\triangle B=A\cup B\). b) If \(P(A)=0.22\) and \(P(B)=0.31\), find \(P(A\triangle B)\).

Hints

- Write “exactly one” using set differences. - Ask what the set differences become when there is no overlap. - Once the event is identified, use the consequence of disjointness for its probability.

Solution

1. In general, \(A\triangle B=(A\setminus B)\cup(B\setminus A)\). 2. If \(A\cap B=\varnothing\), then \(A\setminus B=A\) and \(B\setminus A=B\). 3. Therefore \(A\triangle B=A\cup B\). 4. The disjoint-union probability is \(0.22+0.31=0.53\).

Answer

a) \(A\triangle B=A\cup B\) b) \(P(A\triangle B)=0.53\)
54729112
For arbitrary events \(A\) and \(B\), define \(C=A\cap B\) and \(D=A\cap B^c\). a) Prove that \(C\) and \(D\) are mutually exclusive. b) Prove that \(C\cup D=A\). c) Use the decomposition to express \(P(A)\) as a sum of two probabilities.

Hints

- One piece contains the outcomes of \(A\) that are in \(B\); the other contains those outside \(B\). - Use \(B\cap B^c=\varnothing\) and \(B\cup B^c=S\). - Apply additivity only after proving the pieces are disjoint.

Solution

1. \(C\cap D=A\cap B\cap A\cap B^c=A\cap(B\cap B^c)=\varnothing\), so \(C\) and \(D\) are mutually exclusive. 2. \(C\cup D=(A\cap B)\cup(A\cap B^c)=A\cap(B\cup B^c)=A\). 3. By additivity for disjoint events, \(P(A)=P(A\cap B)+P(A\cap B^c)\).

Answer

a) \(C\cap D=\varnothing\). b) \(C\cup D=A\). c) \(P(A)=P(A\cap B)+P(A\cap B^c)\).
54730012
A student claims that if \(P(A)+P(B)=1\), then \(A\) and \(B\) must be mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The diagram shows the four regions determined by \(A\) and \(B\). Let \(P(A)=0.60\), \(P(B)=0.40\), and \(P(A\cap B)=0.15\). Find the probability of each region and explain why the student’s conclusion fails.
Figure for problem 547300

Hints

- Use the addition rule to find the union. - The complement of the union is the “neither” region. - Check all four regions and their total.

Solution

1. The addition rule gives \(P(A\cup B)=0.60+0.40-0.15=0.85\). 2. Therefore the probability of neither event is \(1-0.85=0.15\). 3. One valid four-region model assigns \(0.15\) to both, \(0.45\) to A only, \(0.25\) to B only, and \(0.15\) to neither. 4. Marginal probabilities summing to \(1\) do not force the overlap and neither regions to be zero.

Answer

A valid model is: both \(0.15\), A only \(0.45\), B only \(0.25\), neither \(0.15\). The events are neither mutually exclusive nor exhaustive.
54730412
Events \(A,B,C\) form a partition of a sample space. Event \(B\) is then split into two events \(B_1\) and \(B_2\) that are mutually exclusive and satisfy \(B_1\cup B_2=B\). Prove that \(A,B_1,B_2,C\) also form a partition.

Hints

- Use the fact that both new events stay inside the original event being split. - Check pairwise overlap separately from total coverage. - Replace the union of the two new pieces with the original event.

Solution

1. Because \(B_1,B_2\subseteq B\), each is disjoint from \(A\) and \(C\), which were disjoint from \(B\). 2. \(B_1\) and \(B_2\) are disjoint by assumption. 3. The union is \(A\cup B_1\cup B_2\cup C=A\cup B\cup C=S\). 4. The four events are pairwise mutually exclusive and exhaustive, so they form a partition.

Answer

The four events form a partition: they are pairwise mutually exclusive, and \(A\cup B_1\cup B_2\cup C=A\cup B\cup C=S\).
54730612
For arbitrary events \(A\) and \(B\), show that the following statements are equivalent: 1. \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive. 2. \(A\subseteq B^c\). Explain both directions using outcome membership.

Hints

- Translate mutual exclusivity into a statement about individual outcomes. - What does membership in a complement mean? - Prove each implication separately rather than assuming they are reversible.

Solution

1. If \(A\cap B=\varnothing\), then no outcome in \(A\) belongs to \(B\); therefore every outcome in \(A\) belongs to \(B^c\), so \(A\subseteq B^c\). 2. If \(A\subseteq B^c\), an outcome in \(A\) cannot also be in \(B\); therefore \(A\cap B=\varnothing\). 3. The two statements are equivalent.

Answer

\(A\cap B=\varnothing\) if and only if \(A\subseteq B^c\). The first condition says no outcome lies in both events, which is exactly the requirement that every outcome of \(A\) lie outside \(B\).
54730712
A commuter selects exactly one primary route type: highway, local roads, or rail. Event \(R\) is “primary route is rail.” Event \(T\) is “uses a train at some point,” including park-and-ride trips. Are \(R\) and \(T^c\) mutually exclusive? Are “highway” and \(T\) mutually exclusive?

Hints

- Use the logical implication built into the primary-rail category. - Events from primary and secondary travel descriptions need not form one partition. - Test each pair separately.

Solution

1. If the primary route is rail, the commuter uses a train, so \(R\cap T^c=\varnothing\). 2. A highway-primary commuter may use a train for part of the trip under the stated definition. 3. Therefore highway and \(T\) are not necessarily mutually exclusive.

Answer

\(R\) and \(T^c\) are mutually exclusive. Highway and \(T\) may overlap.
54727912
Events \(A,B,\) and \(C\) may overlap. Define \(D_1=A\), \(D_2=B\setminus A\), and \(D_3=C\setminus(A\cup B)\). Show that \(D_1,D_2,D_3\) are pairwise mutually exclusive and that \(D_1\cup D_2\cup D_3=A\cup B\cup C\). Explain why this “disjointification” is useful for counting a union.

Hints

- Check what was removed from each later-defined set. - Test each pairwise intersection. - Track where an outcome belonging to several original events is assigned.

Solution

1. \(D_2\) contains no outcomes from \(A=D_1\), so \(D_1\cap D_2=\varnothing\). 2. \(D_3\) removes every outcome in \(A\cup B\), so it overlaps neither \(D_1\) nor \(D_2\). 3. Every outcome in \(A\cup B\cup C\) is assigned to the first event in the order \(A,B,C\) that contains it. 4. Thus the three disjoint pieces have the same union as the original events and can be counted without overlap corrections.

Answer

\(D_1,D_2,D_3\) are pairwise disjoint and their union is \(A\cup B\cup C\). They partition the union into nonoverlapping pieces, so their counts or probabilities can be added directly.
54728212
A finite sample space is \(S=\{s_1,\ldots,s_n\}\), and every elementary outcome has positive probability. Events \(A\) and \(B\) satisfy \(P(A\cap B)=0\). Prove that \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive. Then explain why the positive-probability assumption on every elementary outcome is essential.

Hints

- Use contradiction: suppose the intersection contains one elementary outcome. - Compare the probability of a set with the probability of a positive-probability subset it contains. - Distinguish an empty event from a nonempty null event.

Solution

1. If \(A\cap B\) contained an elementary outcome \(s_i\), then \(P(A\cap B)\ge P(\{s_i\})>0\), contradicting \(P(A\cap B)=0\). 2. Therefore \(A\cap B=\varnothing\), so the events are mutually exclusive. 3. Without the positive-atom assumption, a nonempty event may have probability \(0\), as can occur for single points in a continuous model. Then zero intersection probability would not force an empty intersection.

Answer

Under the stated finite positive-atom condition, \(A\cap B=\varnothing\), so \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive. The conclusion can fail when nonempty events of probability \(0\) are allowed.
54729312
Events \(A\) and \(B\) are mutually exclusive, and \(C\) is any event. Prove that \((A\cup C)\cap(B\cup C)=C\). Explain why adjoining the same event \(C\) to two disjoint events makes their new intersection exactly \(C\).

Hints

- Expand the intersection of the two unions using distributivity. - Use mutual exclusivity to eliminate one term. - Any intersection with \(C\) is already contained in \(C\).

Solution

1. Distribute intersection over union: \((A\cup C)\cap(B\cup C)=(A\cap B)\cup(A\cap C)\cup(C\cap B)\cup C\). 2. Since \(A\cap B=\varnothing\), the first term disappears. 3. Both \(A\cap C\) and \(B\cap C\) are subsets of \(C\), so their union with \(C\) is simply \(C\).

Answer

\((A\cup C)\cap(B\cup C)=C\).

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