53109312
A microscope slide is divided into \(100\) equal square cells. A total of \(120\) pollen grains are distributed randomly and independently among the cells.
For one selected cell, find the probability that it contains:
a) no pollen grains;
b) exactly one pollen grain;
c) exactly two pollen grains.
Also find the expected number of the \(100\) cells that contain exactly one pollen grain.
Hints
- Find the probability that one pollen grain lands in one specified cell.
- Model the number of grains in that cell using repeated independent trials.
- Multiply the one-cell probability by the number of cells to obtain the expected count.
Solution
1. For one selected cell, each pollen grain lands in that cell with probability \(p=\frac{1}{100}=0.01\). Let \(X\) be the number of pollen grains in the cell. Then \(X\) is binomial with \(n=120\) and \(p=0.01\).
2. \(P(X=0)=(0.99)^{120}\approx0.2994\).
3. \(P(X=1)=\binom{120}{1}(0.01)(0.99)^{119}\approx0.3629\).
4. \(P(X=2)=\binom{120}{2}(0.01)^2(0.99)^{118}\approx0.2181\).
5. By linearity of expectation, the expected number of cells containing exactly one pollen grain is \(100P(X=1)\approx36.29\).
Answer
a) \(P(X=0)\approx0.2994\)
b) \(P(X=1)\approx0.3629\)
c) \(P(X=2)\approx0.2181\)
The expected number of cells containing exactly one pollen grain is about \(36.29\).
