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Central limit theorem

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55630212
A population has mean \(50\). Many independent random samples of the same size are selected, and the sample mean \(\bar X\) is calculated for each sample. What is the mean of the sampling distribution of \(\bar X\)?

Hints

- Recall where the sampling distribution of a sample mean is centered. - Ask whether repeated sample means are centered at the population mean.

Solution

1. The sample mean is an unbiased estimator of the population mean. 2. Therefore, \(E(\bar X)=\mu=50.\)

Answer

\(50\).
55630312
A population is strongly right-skewed. Pedro says: “If the sample size is large, the central limit theorem says the individual observations in the sample become approximately normal.” Is the statement correct? If not, state what becomes approximately normal.

Hints

- Distinguish the distribution of individual data values from the distribution of a statistic across repeated samples. - Ask which random quantity the central limit theorem describes.

Solution

1. The statement is not correct. 2. Increasing the sample size does not change the population distribution or make the individual observations normal. 3. Under suitable conditions, the central limit theorem says that the sampling distribution of the sample mean becomes approximately normal as the sample size grows.

Answer

No. The individual observations do not become normal. The sampling distribution of the sample mean becomes approximately normal as the sample size grows.
54751112
Three random-sampling situations are described. a) A sample of size \(5\) from a strongly right-skewed population. b) A sample of size \(80\) from a strongly right-skewed population with finite standard deviation. c) A sample of size \(5\) from a normal population. For which situations is the distribution of the sample mean reasonably modeled as normal? Distinguish where the central limit theorem is being used from where it is not needed.

Hints

- Consider both the population shape and the sample size. - Separate an approximate result caused by averaging from an exact result inherited from the population. - Strong skewness matters more when only a few observations are averaged.

Solution

1. In a), the small sample does not provide enough averaging to overcome strong skewness, so a normal model is not justified from the information given. 2. In b), the large sample makes the sample mean approximately normal by the central limit theorem. 3. In c), the sample mean is normal because the population itself is normal; the central limit theorem is not needed.

Answer

a) A normal model is not justified from the information given. b) The sample mean is reasonably modeled as normal by the central limit theorem. c) The sample mean is normal because the population is normal; the central limit theorem is not needed.
54751412
A population is normally distributed with mean \(20\) and standard deviation \(6\). An independent random sample of size \(4\) is selected. Find \(P(\bar X<17)\), rounded to four decimal places. Is the central limit theorem needed to justify the normal calculation?

Hints

- Decide whether normality of the sample mean is approximate or exact. - Find the standard error of the sample mean. - Standardize the cutoff.

Solution

1. Because the population is normal, the sample mean is exactly normal for any sample size. 2. Its mean is \(20\) and its standard error is \(\frac{6}{\sqrt4}=3.\) 3. The standardized value is \(z=\frac{17-20}{3}=-1.\) 4. Therefore, \(P(\bar X<17)=P(Z<-1)\approx0.1587.\) The central limit theorem is not needed.

Answer

\(P(\bar X<17)\approx0.1587\). The sample mean is exactly normal because the population is normal, so the central limit theorem is unnecessary.
54752112
A population has standard deviation \(18\). An independent random sample of size \(36\) is selected. Hiro says the standard deviation of the sample mean is \(\frac{18}{36}=0.5\). a) Correct Hiro's error. b) Using the central limit theorem as an approximation, find the probability that the sample mean is within \(6\) units of the population mean. Round to four decimal places.

Hints

- The spread of a sample mean decreases with the square root of sample size. - Convert the six-unit distance into standard-error units. - Use a central standard-normal probability.

Solution

1. The standard deviation of the sample mean is \(\sigma_{\bar X}=\frac{18}{\sqrt{36}}=3\), not \(18/36\). 2. A distance of \(6\) units is \(\frac{6}{3}=2\) standard errors. 3. Therefore, \(P(|\bar X-\mu|<6)\approx P(-2<Z<2)\approx0.9545\).

Answer

a) The correct standard error is \(3\). b) Approximately \(0.9545\).
54753112
A population is strongly skewed with mean \(70\). A random sample of size \(100\) is selected. Maja attempts to use the central limit theorem to calculate \(P(\bar X>72)\), but the population standard deviation is not given. Can the requested probability be determined from the stated information? Explain what additional information is needed.

Hints

- List the parameters needed to specify the approximate sampling distribution. - Check which of those parameters can be obtained from the problem statement. - Decide whether the cutoff can be expressed in standardized units.

Solution

1. The central limit theorem locates the sample-mean distribution at \(70\). 2. Its standard error would be \(\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{100}}=\frac{\sigma}{10}\). 3. Without the population standard deviation \(\sigma\), the cutoff \(72\) cannot be standardized. 4. Therefore, the numerical probability cannot be determined; the population standard deviation or equivalent spread information is needed.

Answer

No. The population standard deviation \(\sigma\) is needed to obtain the standard error \(\sigma/10\) and standardize \(72\).
54753812
Independent item values have mean \(4\), standard deviation \(2\), and a nonnormal distribution. For the sum \(S\) of \(100\) items, Soo-jin models \(S\) as approximately normal with mean \(400\) and standard deviation \(200\). a) Identify the error and give the correct approximate standard deviation. b) Use the corrected model to approximate \(P(S>430)\). Round to four decimal places.

Hints

- For a sum, compare how means and variances scale with \(n\). - Correct the spread before standardizing the total. - Use the CLT approximation only after fixing the model.

Solution

1. Soo-jin multiplied the standard deviation by \(100\). For an independent sum, variances add, so \(\sigma_S=2\sqrt{100}=20\). 2. The mean is correctly \(\mu_S=100(4)=400\). 3. The standardized cutoff is \(z=\frac{430-400}{20}=1.5\). 4. Therefore, \(P(S>430)\approx P(Z>1.5)\approx0.0668\).

Answer

a) The correct standard deviation is \(20\), not \(200\). b) Approximately \(0.0668\).
54754112
A strongly skewed population has mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\sigma\). Random samples of sizes \(16\), \(64\), and \(256\) are considered. a) Rank the three sample-mean distributions from greatest to least standard error. b) Rank them from generally least to most nearly normal. c) Give each standard error in terms of \(\sigma\).

Hints

- Express each sampling spread using the square root of its sample size. - Compare how averaging more observations changes variability. - Apply the theorem's qualitative statement about shape as sample size grows.

Solution

1. The standard errors are \(\frac{\sigma}{4}\) for \(n=16\), \(\frac{\sigma}{8}\) for \(n=64\), and \(\frac{\sigma}{16}\) for \(n=256\). 2. Greatest to least standard error: \(n=16,64,256\). 3. As sample size increases, the central limit theorem gives a distribution generally closer to normal. Least to most nearly normal: \(n=16,64,256\).

Answer

a) Greatest to least standard error: \(16,64,256\). b) Least to most nearly normal: \(16,64,256\). c) \(\sigma/4,\sigma/8,\sigma/16\), respectively.
54754612
A population has mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\sigma\). Compare the sampling distributions of \(\bar X\) for independent random samples of sizes \(4\) and \(36\). a) Give the mean and standard deviation of each sampling distribution. b) How many times as large is the standard deviation for \(n=4\)? c) Which sampling distribution would generally be more nearly normal if the population is skewed?

Hints

- Separate what happens to the center from what happens to the spread of a sample mean. - Compare the square roots of the two sample sizes. - For shape, consider how much averaging occurs in each statistic.

Solution

1. Both sampling distributions have mean \(\mu\). 2. For \(n=4\), the standard deviation is \(\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt4}=\frac{\sigma}{2}\). 3. For \(n=36\), the standard deviation is \(\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{36}}=\frac{\sigma}{6}\). 4. The first standard deviation is \(3\) times the second. 5. The \(n=36\) sampling distribution would generally be more nearly normal because it averages more independent observations, so the central limit theorem gives a better approximation.

Answer

a) Both means are \(\mu\). The standard deviations are \(\frac{\sigma}{2}\) and \(\frac{\sigma}{6}\). b) The \(n=4\) standard deviation is \(3\) times as large. c) The \(n=36\) distribution would generally be more nearly normal.
55630412
A population has standard deviation \(\sigma\). Compare independent random samples of sizes \(25\) and \(100\). a) What is the standard error of the sample mean for each sample size, in terms of \(\sigma\)? b) How does increasing the sample size from \(25\) to \(100\) change the standard error?

Hints

- Use the standard-error formula for a sample mean. - Compare the square roots of \(25\) and \(100\). - The standard error changes with \(\sqrt n\), not directly with \(n\).

Solution

1. For \(n=25\), \(\sigma_{\bar X}=\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{25}}=\frac{\sigma}{5}.\) 2. For \(n=100\), \(\sigma_{\bar X}=\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{100}}=\frac{\sigma}{10}.\) 3. The sample size is multiplied by \(4\), while the standard error is divided by \(2\).

Answer

a) For \(n=25\), \(\sigma_{\bar X}=\frac{\sigma}{5}\). For \(n=100\), \(\sigma_{\bar X}=\frac{\sigma}{10}\). b) The standard error is cut in half.
55630712
A simulation repeatedly samples from the same strongly right-skewed population, whose mean is about \(10\). Each panel shows a histogram of \(200\) simulated sample means. The three sample sizes used are \(n=1\), \(n=4\), and \(n=25\), but the panels are not shown in that order. a) Match each panel, 1, 2, and 3, with its sample size. b) Describe two changes in the sampling distribution as \(n\) increases. c) Which feature of the panels illustrates the central limit theorem?
Figure for problem 556307

Hints

- Compare both shape and spread across the three panels. - Larger samples make sample means less variable. - The central limit theorem concerns the shape of the sampling distribution of the sample mean, not the shape of the original population.

Solution

1. Panel 2 is the widest and most strongly right-skewed, so it corresponds to \(n=1\). 2. Panel 3 is less spread out and more symmetric, so it corresponds to \(n=4\). 3. Panel 1 is the narrowest and most nearly symmetric, so it corresponds to \(n=25\). 4. As \(n\) increases, the sampling distribution becomes less spread out and more nearly normal while staying centered near the same population mean. 5. The increasing symmetry and bell-shaped appearance of the sample-mean distribution as \(n\) grows illustrates the central limit theorem.

Answer

a) Panel 1: \(n=25\); Panel 2: \(n=1\); Panel 3: \(n=4\). b) The spread decreases, and the shape becomes more nearly normal while the center stays near \(10\). c) The progression toward a more nearly normal shape as \(n\) increases illustrates the central limit theorem.
54750612
Customer support call lengths are strongly right-skewed, with population mean \(8\) minutes and population standard deviation \(6\) minutes. A random sample of \(64\) independent call lengths is selected. Use the central limit theorem to approximate the probability that the sample mean call length exceeds \(9.5\) minutes. Round to four decimal places. Explain why a normal approximation is reasonable even though individual call lengths are not normally distributed.

Hints

- Find the mean and standard deviation of the sample mean. - Standardize the sample-mean cutoff, not an individual call length. - Separate the shape of the population from the approximate shape of the sampling distribution.

Solution

1. For the sample mean, \(\mu_{\bar X}=8,\qquad \sigma_{\bar X}=\frac{6}{\sqrt{64}}=0.75.\) 2. Standardize \(9.5\): \(z=\frac{9.5-8}{0.75}=2.\) 3. Therefore, \(P(\bar X>9.5)\approx P(Z>2)\approx0.0228.\) 4. Although the population is strongly right-skewed, the observations are independent and the sample size \(n=64\) is large enough for the central limit theorem to make the sampling distribution of \(\bar X\) approximately normal.

Answer

\(P(\bar X>9.5)\approx0.0228\). The approximation is reasonable because the observations are independent and the sample size is large, so the central limit theorem applies despite the skewed population.
54750712
A population of transaction amounts has mean \(\$50\), standard deviation \(\$20\), and an irregular multimodal shape. A random sample of \(25\) independent transaction amounts is selected. Using the central limit theorem as an approximation, find the probability that the sample mean is between \(\$45\) and \(\$55\). Round to four decimal places. State one caution about the approximation.

Hints

- Use the standard deviation of the sample mean rather than the population standard deviation directly. - Standardize both interval endpoints. - Consider both sample size and population shape when judging the quality of the approximation.

Solution

1. The sample mean has \(\mu_{\bar X}=50,\qquad \sigma_{\bar X}=\frac{20}{\sqrt{25}}=4.\) 2. The endpoints have standard scores \(z_1=\frac{45-50}{4}=-1.25,\qquad z_2=\frac{55-50}{4}=1.25.\) 3. Thus, \(P(45\le\bar X\le55) \approx\Phi(1.25)-\Phi(-1.25) \approx0.7887.\) 4. The approximation should be treated cautiously because \(n=25\) is only moderate while the population shape is irregular and multimodal; a larger sample would provide stronger CLT support.

Answer

\(P(45\le\bar X\le55)\approx0.7887\). A caution is that the sample size is only moderate for such an irregular population, so the normal approximation may be imperfect.
54750812
A population measurement has mean \(72\), standard deviation \(18\), and a nonnormal distribution. For independent random samples of size \(81\), use the central limit theorem to approximate the \(95\)th percentile of the sample mean. Round to the nearest hundredth.

Hints

- Find the standard deviation of the sample mean. - Use the standard-normal \(95\)th percentile. - Transform the standard-normal percentile back to the sample-mean scale.

Solution

1. The sample mean has \(\mu_{\bar X}=72,\qquad \sigma_{\bar X}=\frac{18}{\sqrt{81}}=2.\) 2. The \(95\)th standard-normal percentile is \(z_{0.95}\approx1.6449.\) 3. Therefore, the corresponding sample-mean percentile is \(72+1.6449(2)\approx75.29.\) 4. The central limit theorem supports the normal approximation because the observations are independent and \(n=81\) is large.

Answer

The approximate \(95\)th percentile is \(75.29\).
54750912
A population has mean \(\mu\), standard deviation \(\sigma\), and a strongly nonnormal shape. Compare independent random samples of sizes \(16\) and \(64\). Using the central limit theorem as an approximation, find \(P\left(\bar X>\mu+\frac{\sigma}{2}\right)\) for each sample size. Give the \(n=16\) result to four decimal places and the \(n=64\) result in scientific notation with three significant figures. Explain the effect of increasing \(n\), including a caution about approximation quality.

Hints

- Express the sample-mean standard error in terms of \(\sigma\) for each sample size. - Measure the same absolute cutoff in standard-error units. - Separate the numerical normal approximation from the question of whether that approximation is trustworthy.

Solution

1. For \(n=16\), the standard error is \(\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{16}}=\frac{\sigma}{4}.\) The cutoff has standard score \(z=\frac{\sigma/2}{\sigma/4}=2.\) Thus, \(P\left(\bar X>\mu+\frac{\sigma}{2}\right)\approx0.0228.\) 2. For \(n=64\), the standard error is \(\frac{\sigma}{8},\) so the cutoff has \(z=\frac{\sigma/2}{\sigma/8}=4.\) Therefore, \(P\left(\bar X>\mu+\frac{\sigma}{2}\right) \approx3.17\times10^{-5}.\) 3. Because the population is strongly nonnormal, the approximation for \(n=16\) may be unreliable. The larger sample provides stronger CLT support. 4. Increasing \(n\) reduces the standard error, so the same absolute distance \(\sigma/2\) from \(\mu\) becomes many more standard errors away and therefore much less likely.

Answer

For \(n=16\): approximately \(0.0228\), with caution because the sample is small relative to the strong nonnormality. For \(n=64\): approximately \(3.17\times10^{-5}\). The larger sample has a much tighter sampling distribution and provides stronger CLT justification.
54751212
A population has mean \(14\), standard deviation \(3\), and a nonnormal distribution. For an independent random sample of \(36\) observations, let \(S\) be the sample sum and \(\bar X\) the sample mean. Use the central limit theorem to approximate both \(P(S>522)\) and \(P(\bar X>14.5)\). Round to four decimal places. Explain the relationship between the two answers.

Hints

- Express the sample sum in terms of the sample mean. - Check whether the two stated events are actually different events. - Standardize the sample-mean cutoff.

Solution

1. Since \(S=36\bar X,\) the event \(S>522\) is exactly the event \(\bar X>\frac{522}{36}=14.5.\) 2. The sample mean has approximate mean \(14\) and standard error \(\frac{3}{\sqrt{36}}=0.5.\) 3. The standardized cutoff is \(z=\frac{14.5-14}{0.5}=1.\) 4. Thus, both probabilities are approximately \(P(Z>1)\approx0.1587.\)

Answer

\(P(S>522)\approx0.1587\) and \(P(\bar X>14.5)\approx0.1587.\) They are equal because the two events are equivalent through \(S=36\bar X\).
54751312
A population has mean \(100\), standard deviation \(24\), and an unknown shape. For independent random samples of size \(64\), use the central limit theorem to find an interval centered at \(100\) that contains approximately \(80\%\) of sample means. Round the interval endpoints to two decimal places.

Hints

- Find the standard error of the sample mean. - Split the probability outside a central \(80\%\) interval equally between the two tails. - Convert the standard-normal critical value back to the sample-mean scale.

Solution

1. The sample mean is approximately normal with \(\mu_{\bar X}=100\) and \(\sigma_{\bar X}=\frac{24}{\sqrt{64}}=3.\) 2. A central area of \(0.80\) leaves \(0.10\) in each tail, so the positive standard-normal cutoff is \(z^*\approx1.2816.\) 3. The margin is \(1.2816(3)\approx3.84.\) 4. Therefore, the interval is approximately \([100-3.84{,}100+3.84]=[96.16{,}103.84].\)

Answer

Approximately \([96.16{,}103.84]\).
54751512
Independent measurements have population standard deviation \(5\). A total \(S\) is formed from \(225\) measurements. Use the central limit theorem to approximate the probability that \(S\) is within \(15\) units of its expected value. Round to four decimal places.

Hints

- Find the standard deviation of the sum. - Center the event at the expected total. - Convert the two deviations from the mean into standard scores.

Solution

1. The standard deviation of the total is \(\sigma_S=5\sqrt{225}=75.\) 2. Being within \(15\) units of the expected total means \(-15<S-E(S)<15.\) 3. The standardized bounds are \(-\frac{15}{75}=-0.2,\qquad \frac{15}{75}=0.2.\) 4. Therefore, \(P(|S-E(S)|<15) \approx P(-0.2<Z<0.2) \approx0.1585.\)

Answer

Approximately \(0.1585\).
54751612
Individual processing times have mean \(4\) minutes, standard deviation \(1.5\) minutes, and a moderately skewed distribution. Assume \(64\) processing times are independent. Use the central limit theorem to approximate the probability that their total is between \(250\) and \(270\) minutes. Round to four decimal places.

Hints

- Find the center and spread of the total. - Standardize both total-value boundaries. - Use the central limit theorem to justify the approximate normal shape of the total.

Solution

1. Let \(S\) be the total. Then \(\mu_S=64(4)=256\) minutes and \(\sigma_S=1.5\sqrt{64}=12\) minutes. 2. The standardized bounds are \(z_1=\frac{250-256}{12}=-0.5,\) and \(z_2=\frac{270-256}{12}\approx1.1667.\) 3. Therefore, \(P(250<S<270) \approx P(-0.5<Z<1.1667) \approx0.5698.\)

Answer

Approximately \(0.5698\).
54751812
The number of minutes required for a production cycle has mean \(6\), standard deviation \(2.5\), and an irregular distribution. A random sample of \(121\) independent cycles is selected. Use the central limit theorem to approximate \(P(5.5<\bar X<6.3).\) Round to four decimal places.

Hints

- Find the standard error of the sample mean. - Standardize both endpoints using the same standard error. - Use the CLT approximation for the sampling distribution of \(\bar X\).

Solution

1. The sample mean is approximately normal with mean \(6\) and standard error \(\frac{2.5}{\sqrt{121}} =\frac{2.5}{11} \approx0.2273.\) 2. The lower standardized bound is \(z_1=\frac{5.5-6}{2.5/11}=-2.2.\) 3. The upper standardized bound is \(z_2=\frac{6.3-6}{2.5/11}=1.32.\) 4. Therefore, \(P(5.5<\bar X<6.3) \approx P(-2.2<Z<1.32) \approx0.8927.\)

Answer

Approximately \(0.8927\).
54751912
Two populations have the same mean and standard deviation. Population A is symmetric and unimodal. Population B is extremely right-skewed with rare but very large values. Random samples of size \(30\) are taken from each population. For which population should a normal approximation to the sample mean generally be more reliable? Explain using the central limit theorem without claiming that either approximation is exact.

Hints

- The theorem describes convergence, not an identical rate for every population shape. - Consider how a rare extreme observation affects an average of only a few dozen values. - Compare the amount of smoothing each original shape needs.

Solution

1. The central limit theorem makes both sample-mean distributions move toward normality as sample size increases. 2. A symmetric, unimodal population generally requires less averaging before its sample mean is well approximated by a normal distribution. 3. Rare extreme values in Population B can continue to produce skewed sample means at \(n=30\). 4. Therefore, the approximation should generally be more reliable for Population A, while more information or a larger sample would be desirable for Population B.

Answer

Population A should generally have the more reliable normal approximation. Population B's rare extreme values can slow convergence to normality at \(n=30\).
54752012
Daily rainfall at a location is zero on many days and highly right-skewed overall, with mean \(0.12\) inch and standard deviation \(0.40\) inch. Assume rainfall amounts on \(81\) selected days are independent and identically distributed. Use the central limit theorem to approximate the probability that the total rainfall exceeds \(15\) inches. Round to four decimal places.

Hints

- Find the center and spread of the total. - Standardize the total-rainfall cutoff. - Separate the skewness of daily rainfall from the approximate shape of the large-sample total.

Solution

1. Let \(S\) be the total rainfall. Its mean is \(\mu_S=81(0.12)=9.72\) inches and its standard deviation is \(\sigma_S=0.40\sqrt{81}=3.6\) inches. 2. The standardized cutoff is \(z=\frac{15-9.72}{3.6}\approx1.4667.\) 3. Therefore, \(P(S>15)\approx P(Z>1.4667)\approx0.0712.\) 4. The large sample supports the CLT approximation despite the zero-inflated, highly skewed daily distribution.

Answer

Approximately \(0.0712\).
54752312
A population is extremely right-skewed but has a finite mean and standard deviation. Two researchers plan random samples of sizes \(20\) and \(200\). A researcher says, “The central limit theorem guarantees that both sample-mean distributions are normal.” Evaluate the statement and compare the two planned approximations.

Hints

- Separate an asymptotic statement from an exact statement. - Consider how extreme skewness affects the amount of averaging needed. - Compare the two sample sizes without relying on a universal cutoff.

Solution

1. The central limit theorem gives an approximation that improves as sample size increases; it does not make every finite-sample distribution exactly normal. 2. With extreme skewness, \(n=20\) may be too small for a reliable normal approximation. 3. The distribution for \(n=200\) should generally be much closer to normal because substantially more observations are averaged. 4. Neither approximation is described as exact solely by the central limit theorem.

Answer

The statement is false. The \(n=200\) sample-mean distribution should generally be much closer to normal, while \(n=20\) may still show substantial skewness. The theorem provides approximation, not exact finite-sample normality.
54752512
A population of index values has mean \(100\), standard deviation \(30\), and an unknown shape. An independent random sample of size \(100\) is selected. Use the central limit theorem as an approximation to find the probability that the sample mean is within \(5\%\) of the population mean. Round to four decimal places.

Hints

- Convert the percentage tolerance into index-value units. - Find the standard error of the sample mean. - Standardize both endpoints symmetrically about the mean.

Solution

1. Five percent of \(100\) is \(5\), so the event is \(95<\bar X<105.\) 2. The standard error is \(\frac{30}{\sqrt{100}}=3.\) 3. The standardized bounds are \(z=\pm\frac{5}{3}\approx\pm1.6667.\) 4. Therefore, \(P(95<\bar X<105) \approx P(-1.6667<Z<1.6667) \approx0.9044.\)

Answer

Approximately \(0.9044\).
54752812
A population has mean \(40\), standard deviation \(8\), and a nonnormal distribution. For independent random samples of size \(25\), let \(\bar X\) be the sample mean and \(S\) the sample sum. Assume a normal approximation for the sample mean is adequate for this population and sample size. Use that approximation to find the \(75\)th percentile of both \(\bar X\) and \(S\). Round both percentiles to the nearest hundredth.

Hints

- Find the standard error of the sample mean. - Transform the standard-normal percentile to the \(\bar X\) scale. - Use the deterministic relationship \(S=n\bar X\) to transform the percentile to the sum scale.

Solution

1. The sample mean has approximate mean \(\mu_{\bar X}=40\) and standard error \(\sigma_{\bar X}=\frac{8}{\sqrt{25}}=1.6.\) 2. The standard-normal \(75\)th percentile is \(z_{0.75}\approx0.6745.\) 3. The sample-mean percentile is \(40+0.6745(1.6)\approx41.08.\) 4. Since \(S=25\bar X,\) use the unrounded sample-mean percentile: \(25[40+0.6745(1.6)]\approx1026.98.\)

Answer

The approximate \(75\)th percentile of \(\bar X\) is \(41.08\), and the approximate \(75\)th percentile of \(S\) is \(1026.98\).
54753012
A population variable \(X\) has mean \(20\), standard deviation \(4\), and a nonnormal distribution. Define \(Y=3X-7.\) An independent random sample of \(64\) values of \(Y\) is selected. Use the central limit theorem to approximate \(P(\bar Y>55)\). Round to four decimal places.

Hints

- Transform the population center and spread before working with the sample mean. - Use the standard error for \(\bar Y\). - Standardize the cutoff on the transformed scale.

Solution

1. The transformed population has \(\mu_Y=3(20)-7=53\) and \(\sigma_Y=3(4)=12.\) 2. The sample mean has approximate standard error \(\frac{12}{\sqrt{64}}=1.5.\) 3. The standardized cutoff is \(z=\frac{55-53}{1.5}\approx1.3333.\) 4. Therefore, \(P(\bar Y>55)\approx P(Z>1.3333)\approx0.0912.\)

Answer

Approximately \(0.0912\).
54753312
A population has known mean \(50\) and standard deviation \(12\). A random sample of size \(64\) is taken, and \(M\) is the sample median. Tariq claims that the central limit theorem makes \(M\) approximately normal with mean \(50\) and standard deviation \(\frac{12}{\sqrt{64}}\). Evaluate the claim.

Hints

- Identify the statistic named in the theorem's standard classroom form. - Check whether the population mean must be the center of the statistic used here. - Ask whether the supplied population parameters are enough to determine this statistic's spread.

Solution

1. The standard central limit theorem result using only the population mean and standard deviation applies to the sample mean or sum. 2. A sample median has a different sampling distribution whose center and spread depend on additional features of the population distribution. 3. The population mean need not equal the population median, and \(12/\sqrt{64}\) is not generally the standard error of the sample median. 4. Therefore, Tariq's proposed model is not justified from the given information.

Answer

The claim is not justified. The usual central limit theorem model with mean \(\mu\) and standard error \(\sigma/\sqrt{n}\) applies to the sample mean, not automatically to the sample median.
54753412
A bounded population variable has mean \(0\), standard deviation \(1\), and a nonnormal distribution. An independent random sample of \(49\) observations is selected. Use the central limit theorem to approximate \(P(|\bar X|>0.30).\) Round to four decimal places.

Hints

- Find the standard error of the sample mean. - Convert the absolute deviation to a standard score. - Include both tails.

Solution

1. The sample mean has approximate mean \(0\) and standard error \(\frac{1}{\sqrt{49}}=\frac17.\) 2. The standardized magnitude is \(z=\frac{0.30}{1/7}=2.1.\) 3. The event has two symmetric tails, so \(P(|\bar X|>0.30) \approx2P(Z>2.1) \approx0.0357.\)

Answer

Approximately \(0.0357\).
54753512
A population has unknown mean \(\mu\), standard deviation \(8\), and a nonnormal distribution. For random samples of size \(64\), the central limit theorem approximation gives \(P(\bar X<52)\approx0.9772\). Find \(\mu\).

Hints

- Convert the stated cumulative probability to a standardized location. - Determine the sampling spread from the known population spread. - Use the cutoff equation to solve for the unknown center.

Solution

1. A cumulative probability of \(0.9772\) corresponds to \(z\approx2\). 2. The standard error is \(\frac{8}{\sqrt{64}}=1\). 3. Therefore, \(\frac{52-\mu}{1}=2\). 4. Solving gives \(\mu=50\).

Answer

\(\mu=50\).
54753612
A population is extremely right-skewed because a few observations can be enormous. A second variable is created by replacing every value above \(100\) with \(100\). Random samples of size \(40\) are taken from the original and capped populations. Which sample-mean distribution should generally be closer to normal, and why?

Hints

- Compare how much influence one unusually large observation can have in each population. - Think about what averaging does when individual contributions are bounded. - The same sample size need not give the same approximation quality for different shapes.

Solution

1. Both sample means involve averages of \(40\) observations. 2. The original population's rare enormous values can dominate an average and preserve strong right skewness. 3. Capping the values limits the effect of any one observation and makes convergence toward a normal sampling shape faster. 4. Therefore, the sample mean from the capped population should generally be closer to normal.

Answer

The sample mean from the capped population should generally be closer to normal because no single observation can be arbitrarily dominant.
54753912
Independent measurements have mean \(7\), standard deviation \(4\), and a nonnormal distribution. Let \(S\) be the sum of \(225\) measurements. Use the central limit theorem to find an interval centered at \(E(S)\) that contains approximately \(95\%\) of possible totals. Round the interval endpoints to the nearest tenth.

Hints

- Find the mean and standard deviation of the sum. - Use the central-\(95\%\) standard-normal critical value. - Apply the margin symmetrically around the expected total.

Solution

1. The total has mean \(E(S)=225(7)=1575\) and standard deviation \(\sigma_S=4\sqrt{225}=60.\) 2. A central probability of \(0.95\) uses \(z^*\approx1.96.\) 3. The margin is \(1.96(60)=117.6.\) 4. Therefore, the interval is \([1575-117.6,1575+117.6] =[1457.4,1692.6].\)

Answer

Approximately \([1457.4,1692.6]\).
54754012
Population A is uniform and Population B is right-skewed, but both have the same mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\sigma\). Random samples of size \(200\) are taken from each. According to the central limit theorem, compare the approximate distributions of the two sample means. Must the two distributions be exactly identical?

Hints

- Identify which sampling-distribution parameters depend only on the population mean, standard deviation, and sample size. - Separate an approximation from an exact distributional statement. - Consider whether different source populations can leave small finite-sample differences.

Solution

1. Both sample means have center \(\mu\) and standard error \(\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{200}}\). 2. The large sample size makes both sampling distributions approximately normal. 3. Thus, their normal approximations use the same mean and standard deviation. 4. The actual finite-sample distributions need not be exactly identical because they arise from different population shapes.

Answer

Both sample means are approximately normal with mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\sigma/\sqrt{200}\). Their approximations match, but their exact finite-sample distributions need not be identical.
54751012
The daily number of visitors to a small exhibit is an integer-valued random variable with mean \(30\) and standard deviation \(8\). Assume visitor counts on \(49\) randomly selected days are independent. Use the central limit theorem with a continuity correction to approximate the probability that the total number of visitors is at least \(1550\). Round to four decimal places.

Hints

- Find the mean and standard deviation of the sum. - Because the total is integer-valued, translate the lower boundary using a half-unit continuity correction. - Standardize the corrected boundary.

Solution

1. Let \(S\) be the total over \(49\) days. Then \(\mu_S=49(30)=1470,\) and \(\sigma_S=8\sqrt{49}=56.\) 2. For the integer event \(S\ge1550\), use the continuity-corrected boundary \(1549.5\). 3. The standardized boundary is \(z=\frac{1549.5-1470}{56}\approx1.420.\) 4. Therefore, \(P(S\ge1550)\approx P(Z\ge1.420)\approx0.0779.\)

Answer

\(P(S\ge1550)\approx0.0779\).
54751712
For random samples of size \(64\) from a nonnormal population, the central limit theorem approximation gives \(P(|\bar X-\mu|<3)\approx0.8664\). Find the population standard deviation \(\sigma\).

Hints

- Match the stated central probability to symmetric standardized endpoints. - Express the three-unit margin in standard-error units. - Solve the resulting scale equation for the population spread.

Solution

1. A central normal probability of \(0.8664\) corresponds to approximately \(-1.5<Z<1.5\). 2. Therefore, \(\frac{3}{\sigma/\sqrt{64}}=1.5\). 3. Since \(\sqrt{64}=8\), \(\frac{24}{\sigma}=1.5\). 4. Solving gives \(\sigma=16\).

Answer

\(\sigma=16\).
54752212
The daily number of minor defects from a production line is integer-valued with mean \(4\) and standard deviation \(3\). Assume counts on \(100\) days are independent. Use the central limit theorem with a continuity correction to approximate the probability that the total number of defects is at most \(350\). Round to four decimal places.

Hints

- Find the mean and standard deviation of the total. - Translate the discrete upper endpoint with a half-unit continuity correction. - Standardize the corrected boundary.

Solution

1. Let \(S\) be the total. Then \(\mu_S=100(4)=400\) and \(\sigma_S=3\sqrt{100}=30.\) 2. For the integer event \(S\le350\), use the continuity-corrected boundary \(350.5\). 3. The standardized boundary is \(z=\frac{350.5-400}{30}=-1.65.\) 4. Therefore, \(P(S\le350)\approx P(Z\le-1.65)\approx0.0495.\)

Answer

Approximately \(0.0495\).
54752412
A population has standard deviation \(15\) and a nonnormal distribution. Assume a normal approximation for the sample mean is adequate for the sample sizes considered. Find the smallest sample size \(n\) for which the normal-model approximation gives \(P(\bar X>\mu+3)\le0.01\).

Hints

- Express the fixed three-unit difference in standard-error units. - Use the standardized cutoff associated with a one-percent upper tail. - Round the sample size in the direction that preserves the probability condition.

Solution

1. The cutoff \(\mu+3\) has standardized value \(z=\frac{3}{15/\sqrt{n}}=\frac{\sqrt{n}}{5}\). 2. An upper-tail probability of at most \(0.01\) in the normal model requires \(z\ge2.3263\). 3. Thus, \(\sqrt{n}\ge5(2.3263)\), so \(n\ge135.28\). 4. The smallest integer satisfying the normal-model probability condition is \(136\).

Answer

Under the stated normal approximation, \(n=136\).
54752612
Elena Rossi records \(100\) sensor values during one hour. Every reading equals an independent small measurement error plus the same random hourly calibration shift. Malik proposes using the central limit theorem and dividing the standard deviation of one reading by \(\sqrt{100}\) to model the sample mean. Evaluate Malik's proposal.

Hints

- Identify which random component is shared by every observation. - Ask whether averaging can cancel a component that moves all readings together. - Check the independence condition before applying the usual sampling-scale rule.

Solution

1. The readings are not independent because all contain the same random calibration shift. 2. Averaging can reduce the independent measurement errors, but it does not reduce the shared shift. 3. Therefore, the standard deviation of the sample mean is not generally the one-reading standard deviation divided by \(\sqrt{100}\). 4. The usual independent-observation central limit theorem calculation is not justified without separately modeling the common shift.

Answer

The proposal is not justified. The common calibration shift creates dependence and remains in the average, so the usual \(1/\sqrt{n}\) spread reduction does not apply to the full reading variability.
54752912
An integer-valued daily count has mean \(6\) and standard deviation \(2\). Assume counts on \(50\) days are independent. Use the central limit theorem with a continuity correction to approximate the probability that the \(50\)-day total is between \(290\) and \(310\), inclusive. Round to four decimal places.

Hints

- Find the mean and standard deviation of the total. - Extend the inclusive integer interval by half a unit at each end. - Standardize the corrected boundaries.

Solution

1. Let \(S\) be the total. Then \(\mu_S=50(6)=300\) and \(\sigma_S=2\sqrt{50}\approx14.142.\) 2. The inclusive integer event \(290\le S\le310\) becomes \(289.5<S<310.5\) under continuity correction. 3. The standardized bounds are approximately \(-0.7425\quad\text{and}\quad0.7425.\) 4. Therefore, \(P(290\le S\le310) \approx P(-0.7425<Z<0.7425) \approx0.5422.\)

Answer

Approximately \(0.5422\).
54753212
A population has standard deviation \(4\) and a nonnormal distribution. Assume a normal approximation for the sample mean is adequate for the sample sizes considered. Find the smallest sample size \(n\) for which the normal-model approximation gives \(P(|\bar X-\mu|<1)\ge0.99\).

Hints

- Convert the desired central probability into a symmetric standardized cutoff. - Relate the one-unit accuracy to the standard error. - Round upward so the final sample meets the requirement.

Solution

1. A central probability of \(0.99\) in the normal model uses the cutoff \(z\approx2.5758\). 2. Require \(2.5758\left(\frac{4}{\sqrt{n}}\right)\le1\). 3. This gives \(n\ge[2.5758(4)]^2\approx106.16\). 4. The smallest integer meeting the normal-model probability requirement is \(107\).

Answer

Under the stated normal approximation, \(n=107\).
54753712
A total \(S\) combines \(50\) independent type-A contributions and \(50\) independent type-B contributions. Type A has mean \(2\) and standard deviation \(1\); type B has mean \(5\) and standard deviation \(3\). The individual distributions are nonnormal, and all \(100\) contributions are independent. Use a central limit theorem approximation to find \(P(S>390)\). Round to four decimal places.

Hints

- Add the two groups' mean contributions. - Add variances, not standard deviations, for independent contributions. - Standardize the total using its combined standard deviation.

Solution

1. The total mean is \(\mu_S=50(2)+50(5)=350.\) 2. Since all contributions are independent, the total variance is \(\sigma_S^2=50(1^2)+50(3^2)=500,\) so \(\sigma_S=\sqrt{500}=10\sqrt5\approx22.36.\) 3. With many independent contributions and no single term dominating the total variance, a normal approximation is reasonable. 4. The standardized cutoff is \(z=\frac{390-350}{\sqrt{500}}\approx1.7889.\) 5. Therefore, \(P(S>390)\approx0.0368.\)

Answer

Approximately \(0.0368\).
54752712
A population variable equals \(0\) with probability \(0.99\) and \(100\) with probability \(0.01\). An independent random sample of size \(30\) is selected. a) Use the central limit theorem to approximate \(P(\bar X>5)\). Round to four decimal places. b) Compute the exact probability by recognizing what must happen in the sample. Round the resulting probability to four decimal places. c) Compare the two values and comment on the quality of the CLT approximation.

Hints

- Compute the population mean and variance from the two possible values. - For the exact calculation, translate the sample-mean cutoff into a required count of \(100\) values. - Compare the approximate and exact probabilities numerically before judging the approximation.

Solution

1. The population mean is \(\mu=0(0.99)+100(0.01)=1.\) The variance is \(0.99(0-1)^2+0.01(100-1)^2=99.\) Thus, the sample-mean standard error is \(\frac{\sqrt{99}}{\sqrt{30}}\approx1.8166.\) 2. The CLT standardized cutoff is \(z=\frac{5-1}{1.8166}\approx2.202.\) Therefore, \(P(\bar X>5)\approx0.0138.\) 3. The sample mean exceeds \(5\) exactly when at least two of the \(30\) observations equal \(100\). Hence, \(P(\bar X>5) =1-(0.99)^{30}-30(0.01)(0.99)^{29} \approx0.0361.\) 4. The CLT approximation substantially understates the exact probability. The population is extremely skewed, with rare values that dominate the sample mean, so \(n=30\) is not large enough for a good normal approximation here.

Answer

a) CLT approximation: \(0.0138\). b) Exact probability: \(0.0361\). c) The approximation is poor and substantially understates the true probability.

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