Pine Valley Community College has three campuses. Separate simple random samples of students from the North, Central, and South campuses are asked which class format they prefer. Each campus enrolls at least \(2000\) students.
<table><tr><th></th><th>In person</th><th>Hybrid</th><th>Online</th></tr><tr><th>North</th><td>\(48\)</td><td>\(20\)</td><td>\(12\)</td></tr><tr><th>Central</th><td>\(50\)</td><td>\(30\)</td><td>\(20\)</td></tr><tr><th>South</th><td>\(48\)</td><td>\(42\)</td><td>\(30\)</td></tr></table>
a) State the hypotheses for a chi-square test of homogeneity.
b) Check the random-sample, \(10\%\), and expected-count conditions.
c) Compute the expected counts, \(\chi^2\), and \(df\).
d) Software gives \(p\approx0.0937\). At \(\alpha=0.05\), state the statistical decision and conclusion in context.
e) Identify the cell with the largest chi-square contribution and describe its observed-versus-expected direction.
f) Explain why failing to reject the null hypothesis does not prove that the three campus distributions are identical.
Hints
- Decide whether this is one sample with two variables or separate samples whose response distributions are being compared.
- Check the sampling conditions before doing any chi-square arithmetic.
- Build row totals, column totals, and the grand total before calculating expected counts.
- Keep the individual cell contributions visible if you need to diagnose which cell drives the statistic most strongly.
- Phrase a failure-to-reject conclusion as a statement about evidence, not certainty.
Solution
1. The null hypothesis is that the class-format distribution is the same at all three campuses; the alternative is that the distributions are not all the same.
2. The samples are stated to be separate simple random samples. The sample sizes are \(80\), \(100\), and \(120\), each less than \(10\%\) of a campus enrollment of at least \(2000\), so the sampling-independence condition is met.
3. The column totals are \(146\), \(92\), and \(62\), with grand total \(300\). The expected rows are approximately \((38.93,24.53,16.53)\), \((48.67,30.67,20.67)\), and \((58.40,36.80,24.80)\). Every expected count exceeds \(5\).
4. Summing all nine contributions gives \(\chi^2\approx7.942\).
5. The degrees of freedom are \((3-1)(3-1)=4\).
6. Since \(0.0937>0.05\), fail to reject the null hypothesis. The samples do not provide statistically significant evidence that class-format preferences have different distributions across the three campuses.
7. The largest contribution is North–In person, approximately \(2.111\), because \(48\) students were observed there versus about \(38.93\) expected under the common-distribution model.
8. Failing to reject means the observed differences are not strong enough for rejection at the chosen significance level; it does not establish that the population distributions are exactly identical.
Answer
a) \(H_0\): The class-format distribution is the same at the North, Central, and South campuses. \(H_a\): The distributions are not all the same.
b) The stated separate simple random samples meet the random-sample condition; each sample is less than \(10\%\) of its campus population; all expected counts exceed \(5\).
c) Expected rows are approximately \((38.93,24.53,16.53)\), \((48.67,30.67,20.67)\), and \((58.40,36.80,24.80)\); \(\chi^2\approx7.942\); \(df=4\).
d) Fail to reject \(H_0\). There is not statistically significant evidence at the \(0.05\) level that the class-format distributions differ among the campuses.
e) North–In person contributes the most, approximately \(2.111\); the observed count is above expectation.
f) Failure to reject indicates insufficient evidence against the common-distribution model, not proof that the three population distributions are exactly equal.